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NUVOCO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.1

Last Updated Time : 19 Jun 26, 11:28 am

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.1

Stock Code NUVOCO Market Cap 11,135 Cr. Current Price 312 ₹ High / Low 478 ₹
Stock P/E 41.1 Book Value 264 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 6.40 %
ROE 2.91 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 317 ₹ DMA 200 338 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.12 % Chg in DII Hold 0.26 % PAT Qtr 91.3 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 56.2 Cr.
RSI 47.2 MACD -1.39 Volume 3,16,066 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,03,226
Low price 276 ₹ High price 478 ₹ PEG Ratio -7.09 Debt to equity 0.41
52w Index 17.7 % Qtr Profit Var -21.0 % EPS 7.28 ₹ Industry PE 30.0

Analysis: NUVOCO presents moderate swing trade potential. The RSI at 47.2 reflects neutral momentum, while MACD at -1.39 indicates short-term bearishness. Current price (312 ₹) is slightly below the 50 DMA (317 ₹) and 200 DMA (338 ₹), showing weak medium-term strength. Valuation is stretched with a P/E of 41.1 compared to industry average of 30.0, and low ROE (2.91%) limits efficiency. However, PAT growth from 56.2 Cr. to 91.3 Cr. sequentially signals operational improvement.

Optimal Entry Price: Around 300–305 ₹, closer to support levels near 276 ₹.

Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 335–340 ₹ (200 DMA resistance zone) unless strong volume breakout occurs.

✅ Positive

  • 📈 Sequential PAT growth (91.3 Cr vs 56.2 Cr).
  • 💹 Manageable debt-to-equity ratio (0.41).
  • 📊 DII holdings increased (+0.26%), showing domestic support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • 📉 High P/E (41.1 vs industry 30.0).
  • 📊 Weak ROE (2.91%) and ROCE (6.40%).
  • 💰 No dividend yield, reducing investor appeal.

📉 Company Negative News

  • 📉 Quarterly profit variation at -21%.
  • 📊 FII holdings declined (-0.12%).

📈 Company Positive News

  • 📈 PAT growth sequentially improved.
  • 📊 Domestic institutional confidence increased.

🏭 Industry

  • 📊 Industry PE at 30.0, lower than NUVOCO’s 41.1.
  • 📈 Cement demand remains steady, supported by infrastructure growth.

🔎 Conclusion

⚖️ NUVOCO is a moderately risky swing trade candidate. Entry near 300–305 ₹ offers better positioning. Exit near 335–340 ₹ is prudent unless momentum strengthens. Valuation remains stretched compared to peers, so caution is advised for medium-term holding.

Would you like me to also prepare a long-term investment analysis with dividend, ROE/ROCE, and sector benchmarking, or keep the focus strictly on swing trading?

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