NMDC - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.2

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price Positioning: Current price ₹71.8 is above both 50 DMA (₹69.8) and 200 DMA (₹69.7) — confirms bullish alignment.

RSI (57.5) — in a healthy range, indicating strength without being overbought.

MACD (0.69) — positive, suggesting upward momentum is intact.

Volume: Below 1-week average — indicates consolidation, but not weakness.

📈 Fundamental Overview

Valuation

P/E (9.67) vs Industry P/E (18.8) — significantly undervalued.

PEG Ratio (-0.84) — negative due to slowing growth, but still attractive for value-focused swing trades.

Profitability

ROCE (29.6%) and ROE (23.6%) — excellent operational efficiency and shareholder returns.

EPS (₹7.44) — solid earnings base.

Quarterly Performance

PAT Qtr: ₹1,477 Cr vs Prev Qtr: ₹1,880 Cr — QoQ decline, but YoY growth (+3.43%) remains positive.

Dividend Yield (3.37%) — strong, adds cushion for holding.

Debt-to-Equity (0.14) — low leverage, financially stable.

FII/DII Holding

FII up (+0.49%) — growing foreign interest.

DII down (-0.64%) — mild domestic caution.

✅ Swing Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹70–₹71 (near DMA support and psychological level).

Target Exit Price: ₹78–₹80 (resistance zone below recent high of ₹83).

Stop Loss: ₹67.5 (below 200 DMA and key support level).

🧭 If You Already Hold the Stock

Hold with a target of ₹78–₹80.

Exit if price breaks below ₹67.5 or if MACD turns negative and RSI dips below 50.

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