⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

NMDC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 4

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 02:09 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

Stock Code NMDC Market Cap 71,618 Cr. Current Price 81.6 ₹ High / Low 86.8 ₹
Stock P/E 10.4 Book Value 36.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.04 % ROCE 30.3 %
ROE 24.4 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 79.6 ₹ DMA 200 75.2 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.44 % Chg in DII Hold -0.32 % PAT Qtr 1,738 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 1,695 Cr.
RSI 52.5 MACD 0.32 Volume 3,79,29,262 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,19,04,611
Low price 59.5 ₹ High price 86.8 ₹ PEG Ratio -0.96 Debt to equity 0.11
52w Index 80.9 % Qtr Profit Var -10.6 % EPS 7.85 ₹ Industry PE 19.6

📊 NMDC shows good potential for swing trading. The stock is currently at 81.6 ₹, trading above both its 50 DMA (79.6 ₹) and 200 DMA (75.2 ₹), indicating bullish undertone. RSI at 52.5 suggests neutral-to-positive momentum, while MACD at 0.32 confirms mild bullish strength. Fundamentals are strong with ROCE at 30.3% and ROE at 24.4%. Valuation is attractive (P/E 10.4 vs industry 19.6), and dividend yield of 4.04% adds investor appeal. However, quarterly profit variation (-10.6%) and negative PEG ratio (-0.96) highlight growth concerns.

✅ Optimal Entry Price: 80–82 ₹ (near 50 DMA support)

🚪 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider profit booking around 86–87 ₹ (near resistance zone), or exit if price falls below 78 ₹ with strong volume.

Positive

  • 💡 Attractive valuation with P/E of 10.4 vs industry 19.6.
  • 📈 Strong ROCE (30.3%) and ROE (24.4%).
  • 💰 Dividend yield of 4.04% supports investor sentiment.
  • 📊 EPS of 7.85 ₹ reflects earnings strength.
  • 📦 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11 shows financial stability.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Quarterly profit variation at -10.6% indicates earnings pressure.
  • 📉 PEG ratio of -0.96 suggests poor growth outlook.
  • 🔻 Volume slightly below weekly average, showing reduced participation.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 Decline in quarterly profit despite strong fundamentals.
  • 🚫 DII holding decreased by -0.32%.

Company Positive News

  • 📊 PAT improved sequentially (1,695 Cr. → 1,738 Cr.).
  • 📈 FII holding increased by 0.44%, reflecting foreign investor confidence.
  • 📦 Stock trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing bullish momentum.

Industry

  • 🏭 Industry P/E at 19.6 indicates sector is moderately valued.
  • 📦 Metals and mining sector benefits from rising commodity demand and infrastructure growth.

Conclusion

⚖️ NMDC is a fundamentally strong company with attractive valuations, high dividend yield, and bullish technical signals, making it a good candidate for swing trading. Entry near 80–82 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup, with exit targets around 86–87 ₹. Caution advised if price breaks below 78 ₹, as momentum could weaken.

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