NMDC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.2
| Stock Code | NMDC | Market Cap | 78,361 Cr. | Current Price | 89.1 ₹ | High / Low | 92.8 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 11.4 | Book Value | 36.8 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 3.70 % | ROCE | 30.3 % |
| ROE | 24.4 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 83.9 ₹ | DMA 200 | 78.6 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.12 % | Chg in DII Hold | -0.30 % | PAT Qtr | 1,738 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 1,695 Cr. |
| RSI | 60.0 | MACD | 2.59 | Volume | 2,03,04,048 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,60,52,202 |
| Low price | 61.6 ₹ | High price | 92.8 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -1.05 | Debt to equity | 0.11 |
| 52w Index | 88.2 % | Qtr Profit Var | -10.6 % | EPS | 7.85 ₹ | Industry PE | 20.1 |
Analysis: NMDC shows strong fundamentals with low P/E (11.4 vs industry 20.1), high ROCE (30.3%) and ROE (24.4%). The stock is trading above both 50 DMA (83.9 ₹) and 200 DMA (78.6 ₹), indicating bullish momentum. RSI at 60 suggests healthy strength without being overbought. Dividend yield is attractive at 3.70%. However, quarterly profit variation is negative (-10.6%), and DII holdings have slightly reduced (-0.30%).
Optimal Entry Price: Around 84–86 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).
Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 92–95 ₹ resistance zone or if RSI approaches 70.
✅ Positive
- Low P/E compared to industry (11.4 vs 20.1)
- Strong ROCE (30.3%) and ROE (24.4%)
- Attractive dividend yield of 3.70%
- Stock trading above DMA levels, showing momentum
⚠️ Limitation
- Quarterly profit variation negative (-10.6%)
- DII holdings decreased (-0.30%)
- PEG ratio negative (-1.05), limiting growth visibility
📉 Company Negative News
- Sequential profit decline (Qtr PAT 1,738 Cr. vs 1,695 Cr. but overall variation -10.6%)
- Reduced domestic institutional interest
📈 Company Positive News
- Strong profitability metrics (ROCE and ROE)
- FII holdings increased (+0.12%)
- Dividend yield supports investor confidence
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 20.1, higher than NMDC’s 11.4 (stock undervalued vs peers)
- Steel and mining sector outlook remains positive with demand recovery
🔎 Conclusion
NMDC is a strong swing trade candidate with solid fundamentals and attractive valuation. Entry is favorable around 84–86 ₹, while profit booking is advised near 92–95 ₹. Momentum indicators suggest further upside potential, but traders should monitor quarterly earnings and institutional flows closely.