NLCINDIA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for NLCINDIA based on the given parameters
📊 Swing Trade Rating: 4.1
| Stock Code | NLCINDIA | Market Cap | 44,907 Cr. | Current Price | 324 ₹ | High / Low | 388 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 17.8 | Book Value | 139 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.11 % | ROCE | 13.0 % |
| ROE | 13.8 % | Face Value | 10.0 ₹ | DMA 50 | 317 ₹ | DMA 200 | 280 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.39 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.26 % | PAT Qtr | 1,243 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 428 Cr. |
| RSI | 48.8 | MACD | -3.01 | Volume | 92,86,991 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 74,78,214 |
| Low price | 220 ₹ | High price | 388 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.83 | Debt to equity | 0.53 |
| 52w Index | 61.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | 89.5 % | EPS | 18.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.6 |
NLCINDIA shows strong swing trade potential. The current price of 324 ₹ is above the 50 DMA (317 ₹) and well above the 200 DMA (280 ₹), reflecting bullish medium-term momentum. RSI at 48.8 suggests neutral positioning, while MACD at -3.01 indicates mild bearish undertones. Fundamentals are fair with ROE at 13.8% and ROCE at 13.0%. Valuation is attractive (P/E 17.8 vs industry 27.6), supported by robust quarterly PAT growth (1,243 Cr. vs 428 Cr., +89.5%). Rising institutional interest adds confidence.
Optimal Entry Price: 315–325 ₹, near 50 DMA support.
Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider profit booking around 350–360 ₹. If momentum sustains, monitor for breakout toward 388 ₹ resistance.
✅ Positive
- 📈 Attractive valuation (P/E 17.8 vs industry 27.6).
- 💰 Strong quarterly PAT growth (+89.5%).
- 📊 EPS of 18.2 ₹ supports earnings visibility.
- 📈 Rising institutional interest (FII +0.39%, DII +0.26%).
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 ROCE (13.0%) and ROE (13.8%) are moderate compared to peers.
- 📊 PEG ratio of 2.83 suggests valuation stretched relative to growth.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53 indicates moderate leverage.
🚨 Company Negative News
- 📉 Efficiency metrics remain modest (ROCE and ROE).
- ⚠️ Debt levels higher than ideal for long-term stability.
🌟 Company Positive News
- 📈 Quarterly PAT surged from 428 Cr. to 1,243 Cr.
- 💹 Stock trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA.
- 📊 Institutional inflows support bullish sentiment.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry P/E at 27.6 is higher, showing NLCINDIA trades at a discount.
- ⚡ Power sector remains resilient with long-term demand drivers.
📌 Conclusion
⚖️ NLCINDIA is a fundamentally fair-valued company with strong profit growth and bullish technical momentum. Entry near 315–325 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup, with exit targets around 350–360 ₹. While efficiency metrics are moderate, rising institutional interest and strong quarterly results support medium-term gains.
Would you like me to extend this with a peer comparison against NTPC and NHPC to highlight relative swing trade strength?