NLCINDIA - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.0

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Current Price (₹239) is slightly above both 50 DMA (₹233) and 200 DMA (₹235) — bullish alignment with mild strength.

RSI (55.9) — healthy zone, room for upward movement.

MACD (2.53) — positive crossover, indicates building momentum.

Volume: Well below 1-week average — needs volume confirmation for a strong swing setup.

📈 Fundamental Overview

Valuation

P/E (12.7) vs Industry P/E (41.2) — significantly undervalued.

PEG Ratio (0.25) — very attractive, strong growth at a low price.

Profitability

ROCE (10.8%) and ROE (14.9%) — moderate returns, acceptable for PSU.

EPS (₹18.9) — solid earnings base.

Quarterly Performance

PAT Qtr: ₹468 Cr vs Prev Qtr: ₹668 Cr — decline QoQ, but Qtr Profit Var: +311% YoY is impressive.

Dividend Yield (1.25%) — decent for holding.

Debt-to-Equity (1.20) — moderately leveraged, typical for capital-intensive sectors.

FII/DII Holding

FII up (+0.04%) — neutral foreign sentiment.

DII down (-0.38%) — mild domestic caution.

✅ Swing Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹233–₹236 (near 50 DMA and support zone).

Target Exit Price: ₹260–₹270 (resistance zone below recent highs).

Stop Loss: ₹225 (below 200 DMA and psychological support).

🧭 If You Already Hold the Stock

Hold with a target of ₹260–₹270.

Exit if price breaks below ₹225 or MACD turns negative with RSI falling below 50.

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