MPHASIS - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Current Price (₹2,774) is slightly above both 50 DMA (₹2,716) and 200 DMA (₹2,664) — mild bullish bias.

RSI (51.1) — neutral zone, no strong momentum.

MACD (-5.68) — bearish crossover, indicating short-term weakness.

Volume: Well below 1-week average — declining interest, not ideal for swing entry.

📈 Fundamental Overview

Valuation

P/E (30.4) vs Industry P/E (29.1) — slightly expensive.

PEG Ratio (5.36) — very high, suggests overvaluation relative to growth.

Profitability

ROCE (22.7%) and ROE (18.2%) — solid returns, especially for IT services.

EPS (₹91.6) — strong earnings base.

Quarterly Performance

PAT Qtr: ₹442 Cr vs Prev Qtr: ₹446 Cr — flat performance (Qtr Profit Var: +9.19%).

Dividend Yield (2.05%) — attractive for holding.

Debt-to-Equity (0.12) — very low, financially sound.

FII/DII Holding

FII down (-1.62%) — cautious foreign sentiment.

DII up (+1.60%) — domestic confidence.

✅ Swing Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹2,715–₹2,735 (near 50 DMA support).

Target Exit Price: ₹2,950–₹3,000 (resistance zone before recent high).

Stop Loss: ₹2,660 (below 200 DMA and psychological support).

🧭 If You Already Hold the Stock

Hold with a target of ₹2,950–₹3,000.

Exit if price drops below ₹2,660 or MACD continues to weaken with volume confirmation.

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