MANAPPURAM - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Technical & Momentum Indicators

Current Price (₹259) is right at the 50 DMA (₹260) and well above the 200 DMA (₹225) — trend is flattening after a strong rally.

RSI (40.3): Weak momentum, nearing oversold zone — possible bounce setup.

MACD (0.38): Barely positive — momentum is fragile.

Volume: Below 1-week average — no strong buying pressure.

📉 Fundamental Concerns

PAT Qtr: -₹191 Cr vs Prev Qtr: ₹278 Cr — sharp earnings reversal.

Qtr Profit Var: -134% — major red flag for short-term sentiment.

PEG Ratio (-5.64): Negative due to earnings contraction — unattractive for growth.

ROE (10.0%) & ROCE (11.0%): Moderate profitability.

Debt-to-Equity (2.90): High leverage — typical for NBFCs, but adds risk.

EPS (₹14.4) and P/E (18.2): Fair valuation, but earnings volatility is a concern.

✅ Positives

FII (+1.28%) & DII (+0.62%) Holding Up: Institutional interest remains.

Dividend Yield (1.37%): Adds holding comfort.

52w Index (82.2%): Strong annual performance.

Price near support zone: Offers tactical entry opportunity.

✅ Swing Trade Strategy

Optimal Entry Price: ₹250–₹255 (near support and RSI reversal zone).

Target Exit Price: ₹275–₹280 (short-term resistance).

Stop Loss: ₹245 (below recent support and psychological level).

🧭 If You Already Hold the Stock

Hold for bounce toward ₹275–₹280.

Exit if price breaks below ₹245 with volume confirmation.

Would you like a risk-adjusted position sizing guide for volatile NBFCs like this one?

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