MANAPPURAM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListHere’s the structured swing trade analysis for Manappuram Finance (MANAPPURAM) based on the provided parameters
Swing Trade Rating: 3.5
| Stock Code | MANAPPURAM | Market Cap | 30,171 Cr. | Current Price | 321 ₹ | High / Low | 334 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 19.8 | Book Value | 170 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.09 % | ROCE | 9.53 % |
| ROE | 11.0 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 303 ₹ | DMA 200 | 284 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -5.55 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.81 % | PAT Qtr | 376 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 381 Cr. |
| RSI | 58.4 | MACD | 2.75 | Volume | 14,92,946 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 22,57,811 |
| Low price | 245 ₹ | High price | 334 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 3.09 | Debt to equity | 3.21 |
| 52w Index | 85.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | -9.37 % | EPS | 16.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 22.4 |
📊 Manappuram is trading at ₹321, above both 50 DMA (₹303) and 200 DMA (₹284), showing short-term strength. RSI at 58.4 indicates neutral-to-positive momentum, while MACD (2.75) confirms mild bullish bias. Volumes (14.9L) are below weekly averages (22.5L), suggesting reduced participation. Valuations are fair (P/E 19.8 vs industry 22.4), supported by EPS of ₹16.2. However, quarterly PAT declined slightly (₹381 Cr → ₹376 Cr), and high debt-to-equity (3.21) raises caution. Dividend yield at 1.09% adds investor appeal.
💡 Optimal Entry: ₹310–₹315 (near 50 DMA support zone)
🚪 Exit if Holding: Profit-taking zone around ₹330–₹335; Stop-loss below ₹305
✅ Positive
- Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
- Fair valuation (P/E 19.8 vs industry 22.4)
- DII holdings increased (+1.81%)
- EPS of ₹16.2 supports earnings visibility
⚠️ Limitation
- High debt-to-equity ratio (3.21)
- Quarterly PAT decline (₹381 Cr → ₹376 Cr)
- Volumes below weekly average
- FII holdings decreased (-5.55%)
- PEG ratio at 3.09 suggests expensive growth valuation
📉 Company Negative News
- Profitability decline quarter-on-quarter
- Reduced foreign institutional participation
📈 Company Positive News
- Domestic institutional inflows (+1.81%)
- Strong technical positioning above DMA levels
🏭 Industry
- NBFC sector average P/E at 22.4, Manappuram trades at a discount
- Sector outlook remains cyclical, tied to credit demand and interest rates
🔎 Conclusion
Manappuram is a cautious candidate for swing trading. While valuations are fair and domestic inflows provide support, weak profitability trends and high leverage limit upside. Entry near ₹310–₹315 offers controlled risk, while exits should be considered around ₹330–₹335. Suitable for short-term trades with strict monitoring of debt and institutional flows.
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