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KSB - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 02:09 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

Stock Code KSB Market Cap 12,403 Cr. Current Price 712 ₹ High / Low 918 ₹
Stock P/E 48.3 Book Value 84.7 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.56 % ROCE 24.2 %
ROE 18.0 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 735 ₹ DMA 200 772 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.06 % Chg in DII Hold 0.38 % PAT Qtr 65.0 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 72.7 Cr.
RSI 49.6 MACD -13.6 Volume 82,172 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,17,168
Low price 582 ₹ High price 918 ₹ PEG Ratio 2.71 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 38.6 % Qtr Profit Var 9.61 % EPS 14.7 ₹ Industry PE 38.2

📊 KSB shows moderate potential for swing trading. The RSI at 49.6 indicates neutrality, while MACD at -13.6 reflects bearish momentum. The PEG ratio of 2.71 suggests the stock is expensive relative to growth. Current price (712 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (735 ₹) and 200 DMA (772 ₹), showing weakness but also potential for a rebound from support levels near 700 ₹. Fundamentals remain strong with ROCE (24.2%) and ROE (18.0%), but valuation is stretched compared to industry peers.

Optimal Entry Price: 700–710 ₹ (near support zone, offering margin of safety).

🚪 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider profit booking around 740–760 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance). Trail stop-loss near 690 ₹ to protect downside.

Positive

  • 📈 Strong ROCE (24.2%) and ROE (18.0%) highlight efficient capital use.
  • 💹 EPS of 14.7 ₹ supports earnings strength.
  • 🔒 Debt-free balance sheet (0.00 debt-to-equity) ensures financial stability.
  • 💰 Dividend yield of 0.56% adds investor appeal.
  • 📊 Quarterly profit variation (+9.61%) shows earnings improvement.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ High P/E (48.3) compared to industry average (38.2) suggests stretched valuation.
  • 📉 PEG ratio of 2.71 indicates expensive growth prospects.
  • 📉 Current price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA reflects medium-term weakness.
  • 📉 Volume (82K) lower than 1-week average (117K), showing reduced momentum.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 Decline in FII holding (-0.06%) signals reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • ⚠️ PAT dropped from 72.7 Cr. to 65 Cr., showing earnings pressure.

Company Positive News

  • 📈 Increase in DII holding (+0.38%) reflects domestic institutional support.
  • 💹 Quarterly profit growth (+9.61%) supports near-term optimism.

Industry

  • 🏭 Industry P/E at 38.2 is lower than KSB’s 48.3, suggesting sector valuations are more modest.
  • 📊 Sector momentum remains strong with 52-week index gain of 38.6%.

Conclusion

🔎 KSB earns a swing trade rating of 3.8. Entry near 700–710 ₹ provides margin of safety, while exit around 740–760 ₹ aligns with resistance levels. Strong fundamentals and debt-free status support the trade, but high valuation and weak technicals require cautious position sizing and disciplined stop-loss management.

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