KPRMILL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.2

🧵 Swing Trade Analysis: KPRMILL

KPR Mill Ltd. presents a strong swing trade setup with bullish technicals, solid fundamentals, and institutional support, though valuation and momentum indicators suggest caution near resistance.

✅ Strengths

Technical Momentum: Current price ₹1,118 is well above both 50-DMA (₹1,054) and 200-DMA (₹1,027), confirming a strong uptrend.

MACD (8.83): Positive — indicates bullish momentum.

RSI (69.4): Approaching overbought — signals strength but also caution for fresh entry.

Profitability: ROCE (21.5%) and ROE (17.6%) are excellent — strong operational efficiency.

Earnings Growth: PAT improved from ₹152 Cr to ₹162 Cr — consistent performance.

Debt-to-Equity: Very low at 0.06 — strong financial health.

Institutional Sentiment: FII (+0.30%) and DII (+2.51%) holdings increased — strong confidence.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Valuation: P/E of 57.9 is significantly above industry average (23.0), and PEG ratio of -14.5 suggests overvaluation.

Volume: Current volume is far below weekly average — momentum may be cooling.

RSI Near 70: Indicates limited upside before potential pullback.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹1,060–₹1,080

Wait for a minor dip and RSI to cool below 65 for a safer entry.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹1,180–₹1,200

Near short-term resistance; exit if RSI crosses 75 or MACD flattens.

Stop Loss: ₹1,020

Below this level, trend support weakens.

⚖️ Verdict

KPRMILL is a strong swing trade candidate, ideal for traders looking to ride short-term momentum backed by solid fundamentals. Entry near support and disciplined exit near resistance can yield favorable returns.

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