JWL - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

📉 Jupiter Wagons Ltd (JWL) Swing Trade Analysis

JWL is currently in a technical downtrend, but its strong fundamentals and institutional interest suggest potential for a short-term rebound. The stock has corrected significantly from its 52-week high, and is now approaching a support zone, making it a candidate for a watchlist-based swing trade.

✅ Strengths

Fundamentals

ROCE: 21.2% and ROE: 17.4% — excellent operational and capital efficiency

Debt-to-equity: 0.18 — low leverage

EPS: ₹9.00 — solid earnings base

PEG Ratio: 0.40 — indicates undervaluation relative to growth

Institutional Sentiment

FII holding up by 0.59% — positive outlook

Volume Stability

Current volume slightly above weekly average — steady interest

⚠️ Weaknesses

Technical Indicators

RSI: 32.9 — nearing oversold, but no reversal yet

MACD: -8.41 — bearish momentum

Price below both 50 DMA (₹374) and 200 DMA (₹402) — confirms downtrend

Valuation

P/E of 39.1 vs industry average of 41.2 — slightly expensive

Price-to-book ratio ~5.4 — premium pricing

Profit Volatility

PAT growth is modest (₹96.4 Cr → ₹103 Cr), but quarterly variation is negative (-1.95%)

DII Holding Decline: -0.32% — mild domestic caution

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹340–₹350

Near recent support and psychological ₹330–₹340 zone

Watch for bullish reversal signals like a hammer or bullish engulfing candle

Confirm entry if RSI crosses 35 and MACD flattens

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Short-Term Target: ₹388–₹407

1

Based on resistance zones and projected recovery levels

Stop Loss: ₹325

Below recent swing low and key support

📌 Summary

JWL is a fundamentally strong but technically weak stock. It’s not ideal for aggressive swing trading right now, but could offer a bounce from oversold levels. Entry near ₹340–₹350 with tight risk control could yield modest gains. If already holding, consider exiting near ₹388–₹407 or trail stop loss to ₹325.

Would you like to explore other railway or infrastructure stocks with stronger technical setups?

1

bing.com

Edit in a page