JUBLINGREA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📉 Jubilant Ingrevia shows stable fundamentals and institutional support, but weak volume and earnings pressure limit short-term upside.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price: ₹675–₹680

🚪 Exit Target (if already holding): ₹705–₹715

🔍 Positive

• 📈 P/E of 39.8 is slightly above industry average (32.5), but supported by decent EPS of ₹17.2.
• 📈 ROCE of 12.8% and ROE of 11.2% reflect solid operational efficiency.
• 📈 DII holding increased by 1.23%, indicating strong domestic institutional confidence.
• 📊 MACD at 1.23 suggests mild bullish momentum.
• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 shows manageable leverage.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI at 51.5 is neutral, lacking strong directional bias.
• 📉 Volume significantly below weekly average (94K vs 2.14L), indicating weak trader interest.
• 📉 Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA (₹695 and ₹702), confirming short-term weakness.
• 📉 PEG ratio of -2.37 implies poor growth-adjusted valuation.
• 📉 Dividend yield of 0.73% is modest for income-focused investors.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹59 Cr to ₹44 Cr, a 26.8% decline.
• 📉 FII holding declined by 1.00%, reflecting reduced foreign investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 Company continues to expand its specialty chemicals and nutrition segments.
• 📈 DII inflows suggest long-term confidence in operational strategy.
• 📈 Strong book value of ₹158 supports valuation floor.

🧪 Industry

• 🧪 Specialty chemicals sector benefits from global supply chain diversification and domestic demand.
• 📉 Margin pressures and export volatility remain key risks.

✅ Conclusion

• 📉 Jubilant Ingrevia is moderately suitable for swing trading due to stable fundamentals and technical support near ₹675.
• 🎯 Entry near ₹675–₹680 with exit around ₹705–₹715 is recommended for short-term traders.
• 📊 Long-term investors should monitor margin recovery and export performance for sustained growth.

I can also compare Jubilant Ingrevia with peers like Deepak Nitrite or Navin Fluorine to identify stronger swing setups in the specialty chemicals space.