JUBLINGREA - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 4.1

📈 Jubilant Ingrevia Ltd (JUBLINGREA) Swing Trade Analysis

JUBLINGREA is showing signs of a bullish continuation after a breakout from consolidation. While valuation is stretched, the technical setup and recent profit surge make it a viable swing trade candidate with momentum on its side.

✅ Strengths

Technical Momentum

MACD: 13.8 — strong bullish crossover

RSI: 54.2 — healthy, with room to rise

Price above both 50 DMA (₹764) and 200 DMA (₹707) — confirms uptrend

Volume & Pattern

Recent breakout from a double bottom and ascending triangle pattern

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Volume spike during breakout — confirms buyer interest

Fundamentals

ROCE: 11.1%, ROE: 8.87% — moderate efficiency

EPS: ₹15.8 — decent earnings

Debt-to-equity: 0.26 — low leverage

DII holding up by 5.90% — strong domestic institutional support

PAT growth: ₹69.4 Cr → ₹74.0 Cr — 153% quarterly profit variation

⚠️ Risks

Valuation

P/E of 51.0 vs industry average of 34.4 — overvalued

PEG Ratio: -2.61 — suggests weak growth relative to valuation

Price-to-book ratio ~4.4–5.2

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— premium pricing

FII Sentiment: Slight decline (-0.16%)

Dividend Yield: Low at 0.62%

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹785–₹795

Retest zone after breakout from ₹765 neckline

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Look for bullish candle confirmation with volume above ₹800

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Short-Term Target: ₹860–₹875

Based on breakout projection and Fibonacci extension levels

Stop Loss: ₹755

Below breakout zone and 50 DMA

📌 Summary

JUBLINGREA is a technically strong swing trade with bullish momentum and institutional support. Entry near ₹785–₹795 offers a favorable setup with targets around ₹875. If already holding, consider exiting near ₹860–₹875 or trail stop loss to ₹755.

Would you like to compare this with other specialty chemical stocks like Anupam Rasayan or Alkyl Amines?

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