JUBLINGREA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.1

🧪 Swing Trade Analysis: JUBLINGREA (Jubilant Ingrevia)

JUBLINGREA presents a mixed swing trade setup — fundamentally stable but technically weak, making it a cautious candidate for short-term trading.

✅ Strengths

Valuation: P/E of 39.0 is slightly above industry average (33.9), but not excessive.

Profitability: ROCE (12.8%) and ROE (11.2%) are decent for a specialty chemicals company.

Earnings Rebound: Qtr Profit Var of 80.1% shows strong recovery despite a sequential drop.

DII Sentiment: Significant increase in DII holdings (+5.90%) — strong institutional support.

Debt-to-Equity: Low at 0.34 — financially sound.

⚠️ Weaknesses

Technical Setup: Price ₹709 is below both 50-DMA (₹730) and 200-DMA (₹711), indicating a bearish trend.

MACD (-6.78): Deeply negative — confirms downward momentum.

RSI (40.5): Near oversold — suggests weakness but potential for reversal.

Volume: Well below weekly average — reduced short-term interest.

FII Sentiment: Slight decline (-0.16%) — mildly negative.

PEG Ratio (-2.32): Negative — implies earnings growth may not justify valuation.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹685–₹695

Near recent support; wait for MACD to flatten and RSI to rise above 45 before entering.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Holding)

Target Exit: ₹745–₹760

Near 50-DMA resistance; exit if RSI approaches 65 or MACD turns positive.

Stop Loss: ₹670

Below this level, downside risk accelerates.

⚖️ Verdict

JUBLINGREA is a moderate swing trade candidate, best suited for traders who can time a reversal near support. Fundamentals are solid, but technical indicators need improvement before a confident entry.

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