JUBLINGREA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.6
| Stock Code | JUBLINGREA | Market Cap | 10,674 Cr. | Current Price | 670 ₹ | High / Low | 852 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 39.0 | Book Value | 158 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.75 % | ROCE | 12.8 % |
| ROE | 11.2 % | Face Value | 1.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 678 ₹ | DMA 200 | 695 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.19 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.96 % | PAT Qtr | 44.0 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 59.0 Cr. |
| RSI | 50.1 | MACD | -18.2 | Volume | 3,78,784 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 2,36,653 |
| Low price | 535 ₹ | High price | 852 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -2.32 | Debt to equity | 0.33 |
| 52w Index | 42.6 % | Qtr Profit Var | -26.8 % | EPS | 17.2 ₹ | Industry PE | 27.0 |
📊 Based on the given parameters, Jubilant Ingrevia (JUBLINGREA) shows moderate fundamentals with valuation concerns and weak technical momentum. It is a cautious candidate for swing trading, suitable for short-term plays near support levels.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around 660–670 ₹ (near current support and below 50 DMA)
📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider booking profits near 690–700 ₹ (close to 200 DMA resistance), or cut losses if price falls below 640 ₹.
Positive
- 💡 ROCE (12.8%) and ROE (11.2%) show moderate efficiency in capital utilization.
- 📈 EPS of 17.2 ₹ supports profitability strength.
- 📊 Dividend yield of 0.75% adds investor confidence.
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 is manageable compared to peers.
- 📈 Institutional interest rising (FII +0.19%, DII +0.96%).
- 🚀 Strong trading volume (3.78 lakh vs avg 2.36 lakh) shows active participation.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Current price (670 ₹) is below both 50 DMA (678 ₹) and 200 DMA (695 ₹), showing technical weakness.
- 📉 MACD negative (-18.2), confirming bearish short-term trend.
- 💰 High P/E (39.0) compared to industry average (27.0), suggesting overvaluation.
- 📊 PEG ratio (-2.32) reflects poor earnings growth outlook.
Company Negative News
- ⚠️ Quarterly PAT dropped (44 Cr vs 59 Cr), showing earnings weakness.
- 📉 Profit variation (-26.8%) highlights declining performance.
Company Positive News
- 🚀 Institutional buying interest supports sentiment.
- 📈 Strong trading activity indicates investor engagement despite weak fundamentals.
Industry
- 🌐 Specialty chemicals industry benefits from long-term demand in pharma and industrial applications.
- 📊 Industry PE at 27.0 shows sector is moderately valued compared to JUBLINGREA’s higher P/E.
- ⚠️ Sector faces risks from raw material cost volatility and global demand cycles.
Conclusion
⚖️ Jubilant Ingrevia is moderately strong with decent ROCE/ROE and institutional support, but valuations are stretched and technical indicators show weakness. Entry near 660–670 ₹ offers a cautious swing setup, with exit targets around 690–700 ₹. Traders should maintain strict stop-loss discipline below 640 ₹ and monitor earnings trends and institutional flows for confirmation.