JUBLFOOD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to List📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.4
| Stock Code | JUBLFOOD | Market Cap | 27,918 Cr. | Current Price | 423 ₹ | High / Low | 720 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 103 | Book Value | 36.4 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.28 % | ROCE | 11.8 % |
| ROE | 11.6 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 447 ₹ | DMA 200 | 518 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -1.30 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.59 % | PAT Qtr | 53.8 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 67.1 Cr. |
| RSI | 42.1 | MACD | -8.89 | Volume | 31,62,693 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 20,22,196 |
| Low price | 409 ₹ | High price | 720 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -8.56 | Debt to equity | 1.38 |
| 52w Index | 4.55 % | Qtr Profit Var | -2.79 % | EPS | 3.44 ₹ | Industry PE | 53.5 |
Jubilant FoodWorks (JUBLFOOD) shows weak-to-moderate potential for swing trading. The current price of ₹423 is below both the 50 DMA (₹447) and 200 DMA (₹518), reflecting bearish technicals. RSI at 42.1 suggests oversold conditions, while MACD at -8.89 confirms negative momentum. Fundamentals are stretched with ROCE at 11.8% and ROE at 11.6%. EPS of ₹3.44 and a very high P/E of 103 compared to industry PE of 53.5 highlight overvaluation. Debt-to-equity at 1.38 raises leverage concerns. Quarterly PAT declined from ₹67.1 Cr. to ₹53.8 Cr., showing earnings weakness. Overall, the stock is technically weak and fundamentally expensive, making it a cautious swing trade candidate.
✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around ₹410–₹420 (near support zone)
📈 Exit Strategy (if already holding): Consider exiting near ₹450–₹460 (resistance zone close to 50 DMA).
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🌟 Positive
- 📈 EPS of ₹3.44 supports profitability despite valuation concerns.
- 📊 Dividend yield of 0.28% provides modest income support.
- 💡 Domestic institutional investors increased holdings (+1.59%).
- 📊 Strong brand presence in QSR (Quick Service Restaurants).
⚠️ Limitation
- 📉 Very high [P/E ratio](ca://s?q=Explain_PE_ratio) of 103 vs industry PE of 53.5 suggests overvaluation.
- 📊 Weak [ROCE](ca://s?q=Explain_ROCE) (11.8%) and [ROE](ca://s?q=Explain_ROE) (11.6%).
- 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.38 raises financial risk.
- 📊 PEG ratio of -8.56 indicates poor growth-adjusted valuation.
📰 Company Negative News
- 📉 Quarterly PAT declined (₹67.1 Cr. → ₹53.8 Cr.).
- 📊 Profit variation (-2.79%) highlights earnings weakness.
- 📉 FII holdings decreased (-1.30%).
📢 Company Positive News
- 💡 Domestic institutional investors increased holdings (+1.59%).
- 📈 Strong brand positioning in the QSR sector.
- 📊 High trading volume (31.6 lakh vs avg 20.2 lakh) shows active participation.
🏭 Industry
- 📊 Industry PE is 53.5, while JUBLFOOD trades at 103, making it significantly overvalued compared to peers.
- 🌐 QSR industry benefits from rising consumer demand but faces margin pressures from inflation and competition.
✅ Conclusion
JUBLFOOD is a cautious swing trade candidate with entry near ₹410–₹420 and exit around ₹450–₹460. While brand strength and institutional support are positives, weak technicals, high debt, and extreme overvaluation limit upside. Traders should monitor earnings recovery and sector trends before entering new positions.
Would you like me to also compare JUBLFOOD’s swing trade setup with peers like Westlife Foodworld or Devyani International to highlight relative opportunities in the QSR sector?