JUBLFOOD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Back to ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.2
| Stock Code | JUBLFOOD | Market Cap | 34,187 Cr. | Current Price | 518 ₹ | High / Low | 744 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 143 | Book Value | 35.0 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 0.23 % | ROCE | 11.0 % |
| ROE | 9.82 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 540 ₹ | DMA 200 | 600 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | -1.52 % | Chg in DII Hold | 1.73 % | PAT Qtr | 64.0 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 66.7 Cr. |
| RSI | 48.0 | MACD | -13.9 | Volume | 8,37,714 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 14,16,116 |
| Low price | 481 ₹ | High price | 744 ₹ | PEG Ratio | -6.77 | Debt to equity | 1.32 |
| 52w Index | 14.0 % | Qtr Profit Var | 22.8 % | EPS | 3.35 ₹ | Industry PE | 114 |
📊 Jubilant FoodWorks (JUBLFOOD) shows weak fundamentals with very high valuations (P/E 143 vs. industry 114), modest ROCE (11.0%) and ROE (9.82%), and elevated debt-to-equity (1.32). Technically, the stock is trading below both 50 DMA (540 ₹) and 200 DMA (600 ₹), with RSI at 48.0 indicating neutral momentum and MACD at -13.9 showing bearish pressure. While DII holdings have increased, FII holdings have declined. Overall, it is a risky candidate for swing trading with limited upside potential.
💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 505 ₹ – 515 ₹ (near support zone).
🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 540 ₹ – 550 ₹ (resistance at 50 DMA) or place a stop-loss below 495 ₹.
✅ Positive
- DII holdings increased (+1.73%), showing domestic institutional support.
- Quarterly PAT stability (64 Cr. vs. 66.7 Cr.) indicates resilience.
- EPS of 3.35 ₹ provides earnings visibility.
- Dividend yield of 0.23% adds minimal investor return.
⚠️ Limitation
- Extremely high P/E ratio (143) compared to industry average (114) indicates overvaluation.
- Low ROCE (11.0%) and ROE (9.82%) reflect modest efficiency.
- MACD (-13.9) signals bearish momentum.
- PEG ratio (-6.77) suggests poor growth prospects relative to valuation.
- Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.32 raises financial risk.
📉 Company Negative News
- FII holdings decreased (-1.52%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
- Stock trading significantly below 52-week high (744 ₹), reflecting weakness.
- Current price near 52-week low zone (14% of range), showing poor sentiment.
📈 Company Positive News
- Quarterly profit variation of 22.8% highlights some earnings improvement.
- DII buying interest supports confidence in the company.
- Stock trading near support levels may attract short-term speculative buying.
🏭 Industry
- Industry PE at 114 vs. JUBLFOOD PE at 143 suggests overvaluation compared to peers.
- Quick-service restaurant sector benefits from rising consumer demand but faces margin pressures from inflation and competition.
🔎 Conclusion
Jubilant FoodWorks is fundamentally weak with stretched valuations and modest efficiency, though institutional support and stable profits provide some cushion. Swing traders may enter near 505 ₹ – 515 ₹ with a target around 540 ₹ – 550 ₹. Stop-loss below 495 ₹ is recommended. The stock offers limited swing trade potential with a rating of 3.2.