JUBLFOOD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.0

📊 JUBLFOOD shows weak fundamentals for swing trading despite some technical rebound potential. The RSI at 36.1 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory, while the negative MACD (-8.86) indicates bearish momentum. The current price (565 ₹) is below both DMA 50 (595 ₹) and DMA 200 (628 ₹), signaling short-term weakness. The optimal entry price would be near 550–560 ₹, close to support levels. If already holding, consider exiting around 590–600 ₹, where resistance from DMA levels may cap upside.

✅ Positive

• 📈 EPS of 3.35 ₹ provides earnings visibility.
• 💹 ROCE of 11.0% and ROE of 9.82% reflect moderate efficiency.
• 🌍 DII holdings increased by 0.74%, showing domestic institutional support.
• 📊 Quarterly profit variation of 22.8% highlights short-term improvement.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Extremely high P/E of 156 compared to industry PE of 123.
• 📊 PEG ratio of -7.38 signals poor valuation relative to growth.
• 📉 Dividend yield of 0.21% is very low.
• 📊 Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.32 indicates high leverage risk.
• 📉 Current price below DMA 50 and DMA 200 shows technical weakness.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 PAT declined slightly from 66.7 Cr. to 64.0 Cr. QoQ.
• 📊 FII holdings decreased by 0.94%, showing reduced foreign investor confidence.

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 Quarterly profit variation of 22.8% highlights operational improvement.
• 💹 DII stake increased, reflecting domestic investor support.

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 123 suggests sector is richly valued, in line with JUBLFOOD’s high valuation.
• 🌍 Quick-service restaurant sector benefits from rising consumer demand and urban lifestyle trends.

📌 Conclusion

JUBLFOOD presents a cautious swing trade opportunity. Entry near 550–560 ₹ may provide a rebound, while exit around 590–600 ₹ is advisable if already holding. Strong domestic support and profit variation are positives, but extreme valuation, high debt, and weak technicals limit upside. Traders should apply strict stop-loss discipline.

I can also break down short-term support and resistance zones visually on a chart to confirm these entry and exit levels if you’d like.