JUBLFOOD - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📉 Jubilant FoodWorks Ltd (JUBLFOOD) Swing Trade Analysis

JUBLFOOD is currently in a technical downtrend with weak momentum and stretched valuations. While institutional interest is rising, the stock’s fundamentals and price action suggest caution. It may offer a short-term bounce, but not a high-conviction swing setup.

✅ Strengths

Institutional Accumulation

FII holding up by 0.51% and DII by 1.29% — positive sentiment

ROCE & ROE

ROCE: 12.9% and ROE: 10.7% — moderate efficiency

Volume Spike

Current volume exceeds weekly average — signs of accumulation

⚠️ Weaknesses

Valuation Concerns

P/E of 189 — extremely overvalued even by industry standards

PEG Ratio: -9.93 — indicates poor earnings growth relative to valuation

Profitability

EPS: ₹3.19 — weak earnings base

PAT declined from ₹51.3 Cr. to ₹48.8 Cr. — mild negative trend

Technical Weakness

RSI: 36.1 — nearing oversold, but no reversal yet

MACD: -10.5 — bearish momentum

Price below both 50 DMA (₹681) and 200 DMA (₹662) — confirms downtrend

Dividend Yield: Very low at 0.18%

Debt-to-Equity: 2.08 — high leverage

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Entry Zone: ₹640–₹650

Near recent support and oversold RSI zone

Wait for bullish reversal signals like a hammer or bullish engulfing candle

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Short-Term Target: ₹675–₹685

Based on resistance near 50 DMA and recent swing highs

Stop Loss: ₹622

Below recent support and psychological ₹630 level

📌 Summary

JUBLFOOD is not ideal for aggressive swing trading due to weak technicals and expensive valuation. However, it may offer a short-term bounce from oversold levels. Entry near ₹640–₹650 with tight risk control could yield modest gains. If already holding, consider exiting near ₹675–₹685 or trail stop loss to ₹622.

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