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JPPOWER - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 2.8

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.8

Stock Code JPPOWER Market Cap 11,041 Cr. Current Price 16.1 ₹ High / Low 27.7 ₹
Stock P/E 17.8 Book Value 18.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 10.2 %
ROE 6.83 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 16.8 ₹ DMA 200 17.6 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.17 % Chg in DII Hold -0.16 % PAT Qtr 4.89 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 182 Cr.
RSI 50.1 MACD -0.55 Volume 6,19,47,020 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,78,26,254
Low price 12.4 ₹ High price 27.7 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.19 Debt to equity 0.28
52w Index 24.5 % Qtr Profit Var -96.1 % EPS 0.91 ₹ Industry PE 26.2

📊 JP Power (JPPOWER) shows weak fundamentals with low ROE (6.83%) and ROCE (10.2%), alongside a sharp decline in quarterly profits. The stock is trading below both 50 DMA (16.8 ₹) and 200 DMA (17.6 ₹), with RSI at 50.1 indicating neutral momentum and MACD at -0.55 showing bearish pressure. While valuations appear reasonable (P/E 17.8 vs. industry 26.2), earnings volatility and weak institutional support make it a poor candidate for swing trading in the near term.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 15.5 ₹ – 16.0 ₹ (near support zone).

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 17.0 ₹ – 17.5 ₹ (resistance at DMA levels) or place a stop-loss below 15.0 ₹.

✅ Positive

  • Reasonable P/E ratio (17.8) compared to industry average (26.2).
  • PEG ratio of 0.19 suggests potential undervaluation relative to growth.
  • Strong trading volume (6.19 crore vs. 4.78 crore average) indicates active investor interest.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.28 shows manageable leverage.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA indicates short-term weakness.
  • Low ROE (6.83%) and ROCE (10.2%) reflect poor capital efficiency.
  • MACD at -0.55 signals bearish momentum.
  • No dividend yield, limiting investor returns outside capital gains.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from 182 Cr. to 4.89 Cr. (-96.1%).
  • DII holdings decreased (-0.16%), showing reduced domestic institutional confidence.
  • Stock trading significantly below 52-week high (27.7 ₹), reflecting weakness.

📈 Company Positive News

  • FII holdings increased slightly (+0.17%), showing marginal foreign investor interest.
  • Stock trading near support levels may attract speculative buying.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 26.2 vs. JPPOWER PE at 17.8 suggests undervaluation compared to peers.
  • Power sector benefits from long-term demand, but company-specific fundamentals remain weak.

🔎 Conclusion

JP Power is fundamentally weak with declining profits and poor efficiency, though valuations appear reasonable. Swing traders may enter near 15.5 ₹ – 16.0 ₹ with a target around 17.0 ₹ – 17.5 ₹. Stop-loss below 15.0 ₹ is recommended. The stock offers limited swing trade potential with a rating of 2.8.

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