⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

JIOFIN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 2.9

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.9

Stock Code JIOFIN Market Cap 1,70,232 Cr. Current Price 268 ₹ High / Low 339 ₹
Stock P/E 244 Book Value 45.9 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.19 % ROCE 2.64 %
ROE 2.22 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 282 ₹ DMA 200 294 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.30 % Chg in DII Hold 0.58 % PAT Qtr 73.1 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 456 Cr.
RSI 47.2 MACD -10.1 Volume 1,57,48,208 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,02,70,109
Low price 199 ₹ High price 339 ₹ PEG Ratio 5.05 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 49.6 % Qtr Profit Var -2.79 % EPS 1.10 ₹ Industry PE 23.5

📊 Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN) shows weak fundamentals with extremely high valuations (P/E 244 vs. industry 23.5), low ROCE (2.64%) and ROE (2.22%), and sharp decline in quarterly profits. Technically, the stock is trading below both 50 DMA (282 ₹) and 200 DMA (294 ₹), with RSI at 47.2 indicating neutral momentum and MACD at -10.1 showing bearish pressure. Despite strong trading volumes and some institutional support, the risk profile is high, making it a poor candidate for swing trading in the near term.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 255 ₹ – 265 ₹ (near support zone).

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 280 ₹ – 290 ₹ (resistance at DMA levels) or place a stop-loss below 250 ₹.

✅ Positive

  • Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity 0.00) ensures financial stability.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.58%), showing domestic institutional support.
  • Strong trading volume (1.57 crore vs. 2.02 crore average) indicates active investor interest.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E ratio (244) compared to industry average (23.5) indicates severe overvaluation.
  • Low ROCE (2.64%) and ROE (2.22%) reflect poor capital efficiency.
  • MACD (-10.1) signals bearish momentum.
  • PEG ratio of 5.05 suggests valuation pressure relative to growth.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from 456 Cr. to 73.1 Cr. (-2.79% variation).
  • FII holdings decreased (-0.30%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock trading significantly below 52-week high (339 ₹), reflecting weakness.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Dividend yield of 0.19% provides minimal but steady returns.
  • Stock trading near support levels may attract short-term speculative buying.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 23.5 vs. JIOFIN PE at 244 suggests extreme overvaluation compared to peers.
  • Financial services sector benefits from credit growth, but company-specific fundamentals remain weak.

🔎 Conclusion

Jio Financial Services is fundamentally weak with stretched valuations and declining profits, though strong volumes and domestic institutional support provide some cushion. Swing traders may enter near 255 ₹ – 265 ₹ with a target around 280 ₹ – 290 ₹. Stop-loss below 250 ₹ is recommended. The stock offers limited swing trade potential with a rating of 2.9.

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