JINDALSAW - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.3

📉 Jindal Saw is technically oversold and undervalued, but weak earnings and bearish trend limit short-term upside.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price: ₹165–₹170

🚪 Exit Target (if already holding): ₹190–₹195

🔍 Positive

• 📉 RSI at 24.1 indicates oversold territory, ideal for short-term bounce trades.
• 📊 MACD at -8.48 suggests bearish momentum may be bottoming out.
• 📈 P/E of 7.82 is well below industry average (23.6), indicating undervaluation.
• 📈 ROCE of 20.9% and ROE of 17.4% reflect strong capital efficiency.
• 📈 PEG ratio of 0.12 implies attractive valuation relative to growth.
• 📈 FII holding increased by 0.23%, showing foreign investor interest.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA (₹197 and ₹227), confirming bearish trend.
• 📉 Quarterly PAT dropped sharply from ₹364 Cr to ₹79.3 Cr, an 83.4% decline.
• 📉 DII holding declined by 0.42%, indicating reduced domestic institutional support.
• 📉 52-week Index at 0.49% shows minimal recovery from yearly lows.
• 📉 Dividend yield of 1.17% is modest for income-focused investors.

📉 Company Negative News

• 📉 Sharp drop in quarterly profit raises concerns about operational volatility.
• 📉 DII outflows suggest cautious sentiment among domestic institutions.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🏗️ Jindal Saw continues to benefit from infrastructure demand for pipes and tubes.
• 📈 Strong ROCE and ROE metrics support long-term fundamentals.
• 📈 FII inflows reflect confidence in recovery potential.

🏭 Industry

• 🏗️ Steel and pipe manufacturing sector benefits from infrastructure and oil & gas expansion.
• 📉 Commodity price volatility and global demand cycles remain key risks.

✅ Conclusion

• 📉 Jindal Saw is moderately suitable for swing trading due to oversold technicals and strong fundamentals.
• 🎯 Entry near ₹165–₹170 with exit around ₹190–₹195 is recommended for short-term traders.
• 📊 Long-term investors should monitor earnings recovery and sector demand trends.

I can also compare Jindal Saw with peers like Ratnamani Metals or Welspun Corp to identify stronger swing setups.