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ITCHOTELS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 05 May 26, 03:38 pm

📊 Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Stock Code ITCHOTELS Market Cap 33,917 Cr. Current Price 163 ₹ High / Low 262 ₹
Stock P/E 39.8 Book Value 54.6 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 9.74 %
ROE 7.04 % Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 163 ₹ DMA 200 186 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -1.52 % Chg in DII Hold 0.33 % PAT Qtr 286 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 152 Cr.
RSI 55.5 MACD 0.90 Volume 38,92,983 Avg Vol 1Wk 41,03,763
Low price 137 ₹ High price 262 ₹ Debt to equity 0.01 52w Index 20.5 %
Qtr Profit Var 25.4 % EPS 3.90 ₹ Industry PE 29.6

Analysis: ITC Hotels is trading at ₹163, exactly at its 50 DMA (₹163) but below the 200 DMA (₹186), indicating mild bearish pressure. RSI at 55.5 shows neutral momentum, while MACD at 0.90 suggests a slight positive crossover. Valuation is expensive with a P/E of 39.8 compared to industry average of 29.6, and EPS of ₹3.90 is modest. ROCE (9.74%) and ROE (7.04%) are moderate, limiting efficiency. Debt-to-equity ratio is very low (0.01), showing strong financial stability. PAT improved significantly (₹286 Cr vs ₹152 Cr), with quarterly profit variation (+25.4%) supporting earnings momentum. Swing trade potential exists but with caution due to high valuation and weak efficiency metrics.

Optimal Entry Price: ₹158–160, near short-term support.

Exit Strategy (if holding): Consider exiting around ₹175–180, aligning with resistance near 200 DMA.

✅ Positive

  • Debt-free structure (Debt-to-equity 0.01).
  • PAT growth (₹286 Cr vs ₹152 Cr) shows strong earnings momentum.
  • DII holdings increased (+0.33%), showing domestic investor confidence.

⚠️ Limitation

  • High P/E (39.8) compared to industry average (29.6).
  • ROCE (9.74%) and ROE (7.04%) are modest.
  • Dividend yield at 0% reduces investor appeal.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased significantly (-1.52%).
  • Trading below 200 DMA (₹186), showing resistance overhead.

📈 Company Positive News

  • PAT surged by 25.4% quarter-on-quarter.
  • DII holdings increased, supporting stability.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 29.6, showing ITC Hotels trades at a premium.
  • Hospitality sector remains cyclical but benefits from rising demand post-recovery.

🔎 Conclusion

ITC Hotels offers moderate swing trade potential with strong earnings growth and debt-free balance sheet. Entry near ₹158–160 may be considered, with exit around ₹175–180. High valuation and weak efficiency metrics suggest caution for longer-term positions.

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