IRCON - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals
Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am
Back to Swing Trade ListSwing Trade Rating: 3.7
| Stock Code | IRCON | Market Cap | 14,395 Cr. | Current Price | 153 ₹ | High / Low | 230 ₹ |
| Stock P/E | 20.8 | Book Value | 68.7 ₹ | Dividend Yield | 1.71 % | ROCE | 14.7 % |
| ROE | 11.6 % | Face Value | 2.00 ₹ | DMA 50 | 162 ₹ | DMA 200 | 176 ₹ |
| Chg in FII Hold | 0.03 % | Chg in DII Hold | 0.04 % | PAT Qtr | 185 Cr. | PAT Prev Qtr | 151 Cr. |
| RSI | 37.1 | MACD | -3.48 | Volume | 15,15,460 | Avg Vol 1Wk | 13,20,250 |
| Low price | 134 ₹ | High price | 230 ₹ | PEG Ratio | 2.35 | Debt to equity | 0.00 |
| 52w Index | 19.8 % | Qtr Profit Var | -8.68 % | EPS | 7.38 ₹ | Industry PE | 18.8 |
📊 IRCON International shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (₹162) and 200 DMA (₹176), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 37.1 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD negative (-3.48) confirms bearish momentum. An optimal entry would be near ₹150–₹152. If already holding, consider exiting around ₹165–₹170, where resistance from DMA levels is expected.
Positive
- ✅ P/E of 20.8 is close to industry average, suggesting fair valuation.
- ✅ Dividend yield of 1.71% provides steady income support.
- ✅ ROCE (14.7%) and ROE (11.6%) show decent capital efficiency.
- ✅ Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 indicates zero leverage risk.
- ✅ FII holdings increased by 0.03% and DII holdings increased by 0.04%, showing institutional confidence.
Limitation
- ⚠️ Trading below DMA levels signals weak technical momentum.
- ⚠️ PEG ratio of 2.35 suggests valuation is stretched relative to growth.
- ⚠️ Quarterly profit variation (-8.68%) shows sequential earnings decline.
- ⚠️ 52-week index at 19.8% reflects weak performance relative to highs.
Company Negative News
- ❌ Sequential decline in PAT (₹151 Cr. → ₹185 Cr. with -8.68% variation) shows short-term pressure.
- ❌ Bearish technical indicators with MACD negative and price below DMA levels.
Company Positive News
- 🌟 Dividend yield near 2% adds attractiveness for income-focused investors.
- 🌟 Zero debt ensures financial stability.
- 🌟 Institutional inflows from both FII and DII provide support.
Industry
- 🏭 Infrastructure sector trades at PE of 18.8, close to IRCON’s PE of 20.8, suggesting fair valuation.
- 🏭 Sector growth driven by government projects and railway infrastructure expansion supports long-term prospects.
Conclusion
📌 IRCON International is a moderately strong candidate for swing trading, supported by fair valuation, dividend yield, and zero debt. Entry near ₹150–₹152 is optimal, with exit around ₹165–₹170. Traders should be cautious of weak technical signals, sequential profit decline, and stretched PEG ratio, but fundamentals and industry outlook remain stable.
I can also prepare a peer comparison with RVNL or NBCC to highlight relative swing trade opportunities in the infrastructure sector.
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