INTELLECT - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.7

📉 Technical Analysis

Current Price ₹1,039 sits below the 50 DMA (₹1,098), though above the 200 DMA (₹951) — a mixed technical signal, leaning cautious.

RSI (34.4) — nearing oversold zone, but not yet reversing, caution advised.

MACD (–12.6) — bearish momentum active, suggesting short-term weakness persists.

Volume significantly below weekly average — a sign of diminished interest or waiting sentiment.

💼 Fundamental Perspective

Valuation

P/E (41.1) above Industry PE (29.1) — signals premium pricing.

PEG (–52.0) — negative value reflects poor alignment between growth and valuation.

Profitability

ROCE (16.8%) and ROE (12.7%) — moderately healthy.

EPS ₹25.4 — solid earnings per share.

Debt-to-Equity (0.03) — low debt, financially sound.

PAT Drop from ₹135 Cr. to ₹93.7 Cr. — likely dampening sentiment.

🏦 Institutional Moves

FII Holding Increased (+2.97%) — bullish signal from foreign investors.

DII Holding Dropped (–1.08%) — mild domestic exit trend.

📥 Entry Strategy

Watch for base-building near ₹1,010–₹1,020 range.

Consider entry only if

RSI rises above 39

MACD begins flattening

Volume picks up to 6L+

📤 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Initial Profit Zone: ₹1,090–₹1,100 (just above 50 DMA)

Momentum Extension: ₹1,140–₹1,160 (requires RSI > 55, MACD crossover)

Aggressive Exit Point: ₹1,200+ — if volume surges past 9L and bullish signals confirm

🧠 Verdict

INTELLECT is fundamentally stable with low debt and decent profitability, but its technical chart is unconvincing right now. The increase in FII interest adds some bullish flavor, though short-term indicators suggest cautious positioning. Not a clear-cut swing trade yet — wait for reversal cues or sharper momentum setups.

Want me to scout other mid-cap tech plays trading near support with better MACD setups? Some are quietly bubbling under.

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