IDFCFIRSTB - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Technical & Fundamental Analysis

✅ Strengths

PEG Ratio (0.35): Undervalued relative to growth, attractive for short-term trades.

Price > DMA50 (₹70.9) & DMA200 (₹69.0): Bullish structure confirmed.

MACD (0.44): Mild bullish crossover, early momentum signal.

Volume Surge: Current volume significantly above 1-week average → strong participation.

DII Holding ↑ (4.75%): Strong domestic institutional support.

P/E (40.4): High, but typical for growth-focused banks.

⚠️ Risks

ROCE (6.23%) / ROE (4.32%): Weak capital efficiency.

Debt-to-Equity (7.99): Very high leverage, typical of banks but worth monitoring.

RSI (54.7): Neutral zone, lacks breakout conviction.

FII Holding ↓ (-1.40%): Foreign outflow.

Qtr Profit Var (-32.0%): Sequential earnings decline.

EPS (₹1.78): Low earnings base.

52w Index (74.8%): Near upper range, limited upside unless breakout sustains.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹69.5–₹70.5

A pullback near DMA200 offers better margin of safety.

Entry should be confirmed with RSI push above 58 and MACD sustainment.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹75.5–₹77.0

Resistance zone with ~6–7% swing potential.

Stop Loss: ₹67.5

Below DMA200 and recent support; protects against downside risk.

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