GODREJIND - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.9

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is above both 50 DMA (₹1,200) and 200 DMA (₹1,127), suggesting a short-term bullish structure.

MACD Positive: At 6.74, MACD shows mild momentum, but not strong enough for conviction.

RSI Neutral: 52.0 indicates consolidation—neither oversold nor overbought.

Volume Weak: Current volume (71.6K) is significantly below 1-week average (1.13L), showing fading interest.

📉 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Extremely Stretched: P/E of 753 and PEG of 4.01 are red flags—pricing is disconnected from earnings.

Weak Profitability: ROCE 8.13%, ROE 9.04%—subpar efficiency for a ₹40,000 Cr company.

Negative Earnings: PAT dropped from ₹−68.3 Cr to ₹−30 Cr, with Qtr Profit Var at −128%—unsuitable for swing-grade setups.

High Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 5.90 adds significant financial risk.

Institutional Sentiment: FII reduced (−1.31%), DII flat (+0.05%)—signals caution.

🧠 Analyst Sentiment

Forecasts suggest a wide trading range with downside target of ₹1,036 and upside potential of ₹1,396 by 2025

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. However, the stock is currently trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, and short-term trend is mildly up

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.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹1,180–₹1,190: Near 21-DMA and recent support zone. Entry only if MACD strengthens and volume picks up.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹1,375–₹1,390: Near 52-week high and resistance zone. Exit if RSI crosses 68 or MACD flattens.

Trailing Stop: ₹1,165 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

GODREJIND is in a technical recovery, but fundamentals are weak and valuation is excessive. It’s suitable only for short-term tactical trades with tight risk control. Entry near support with confirmation is key; otherwise, capital may be better deployed in cleaner setups with stronger ROCE and earnings visibility.

Let me know if you'd like a filtered basket with PEG < 1.5, ROCE > 15%, and MACD > 10 for higher conviction swing candidates.

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