GODREJAGRO - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

📈 Analysis: GODREJAGRO shows potential for a tactical swing trade setup. The current price of ₹648 is just above its 52-week low and below both the 50 DMA (₹698) and 200 DMA (₹732), indicating short-term weakness. RSI at 34.3 and MACD at -12.4 suggest oversold conditions, which could lead to a technical rebound. Fundamentally, the company is solid with strong ROCE (24.4%), ROE (20.9%), and a healthy dividend yield (1.69%). The PEG ratio of 1.97 implies slightly expensive growth, and the recent PAT surge adds momentum. Institutional activity is mixed, with a slight dip in FII and a rise in DII holdings.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price: ₹640–₹650 (near support and oversold RSI)

🚪 Exit Strategy (if holding): Consider exiting near ₹690–₹710 (approaching 50 DMA) or if RSI crosses 60 with MACD turning positive.

✅ Positive

• 📊 ROCE (24.4%) and ROE (20.9%) — strong operational efficiency
• 💰 Dividend yield of 1.69% — steady income stream
• 📈 EPS of ₹27.8 — solid earnings base
• 📈 DII holding increased (+0.21%) — domestic investor confidence
• 📊 PAT growth from ₹68.1 Cr. to ₹169 Cr. — strong quarterly performance

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Price below both 50 and 200 DMA — short-term bearish trend
• 📉 RSI and MACD indicate weak momentum
• 📉 PEG ratio of 1.97 — slightly overvalued relative to growth
• 📉 FII holding decreased (-0.06%) — foreign investor caution

📰 Company Negative News

• No major negative news reported, but technical weakness and valuation caution are notable

🌟 Company Positive News

• Strong quarterly profit growth and rising DII interest reflect improving fundamentals and domestic confidence

🏭 Industry

• Industry P/E is 19.0 — GODREJAGRO trades at a premium, reflecting higher growth expectations
• Agribusiness sector benefits from structural demand and government support for rural and food sectors

🧾 Conclusion

GODREJAGRO is a fundamentally sound but technically weak swing trade candidate. Entry near support offers a tactical opportunity if momentum improves. Exit near resistance or on RSI/MACD confirmation is advisable.

I can also help you track RSI and MACD trends over the next few sessions to refine your timing.