GODREJAGRO - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

GODREJAGRO presents a technically strong swing setup with recent momentum, though its valuation looks stretched, and institutional sentiment is cooling slightly. It’s suitable for a short-term continuation trade, especially if volume and RSI sustain their current levels.

📊 Fundamental View

Valuation

P/E: 39.9 vs Industry PE: 20.6 → Overvalued compared to peers

PEG Ratio: -46.9 → Implies poor visibility on growth consistency

EPS: ₹22.4, Book Value: ₹124 → Market pricing well above intrinsic value

Profitability

ROCE & ROE: 16.6% → Reasonably efficient, balanced profitability

PAT Drop: ₹66.1 Cr. vs ₹110 Cr. → Worth noting but not panic-worthy

Debt Profile: Debt-to-Equity: 0.59 → Moderate leverage

Dividend Yield: 1.30% → Decent sweetener for long-term holders

📈 Technical Analysis

Price Action

Current Price ₹843 is above

50-DMA: ₹787

200-DMA: ₹749 → Bullish trend with strong support levels

Momentum

RSI: 66.7 → Strong but approaching overbought zone

MACD: 18.0 → Positive crossover supports continued upside

Volume

Current: 3.4L vs Avg: 10L → Significantly lower participation this week

52W Index: 85.0% → Close to year high of ₹876, minor resistance ahead

🧭 Swing Trade Strategy

✅ Optimal Entry Zone

Entry Price: ₹825–₹835 Prefer minor pullback to reduce entry risk and set tighter stops.

🚪 Exit Strategy

Target Price: ₹865–₹875 Take profits near 52-week highs to avoid reversal pressure.

Stop-Loss: ₹800 Below breakout base and minor support level.

📌 Already Holding?

You're positioned well.

Consider trimming at ₹865+ if RSI breaches 70 or if volume continues to weaken.

If MACD slows and price stalls below ₹860, re-evaluate with a trailing stop around ₹820.

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