FINPIPE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

📈 Analysis: FINPIPE shows weak technical momentum and declining earnings, making it a cautious swing trade candidate. The current price of ₹189 is below both the 50 DMA (₹199) and 200 DMA (₹210), indicating a bearish trend. RSI at 33.0 and negative MACD (-3.94) suggest oversold conditions but no clear reversal yet. The stock has low debt and trades above industry P/E, but the negative PEG ratio (-1.59) and sharp drop in quarterly profit (-45.8%) raise concerns. DII interest has increased slightly, which may support a short-term bounce.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price: ₹180–₹185 (near support zone and oversold RSI)

🚪 Exit Strategy (if holding): Consider exiting near ₹205–₹210 (next resistance zone) or if RSI crosses 60 with MACD turning positive.

✅ Positive

• 📉 Low debt (Debt/Equity: 0.04) — strong financial structure
• 📈 DII holding increased (+0.75%) — domestic institutional support
• 📊 EPS of ₹5.96 — consistent earnings base
• 📉 Trading near 52-week low — potential support zone

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI and MACD indicate weak momentum
• 📉 Price below key moving averages — bearish trend
• 📉 Quarterly PAT dropped from ₹150 Cr. to ₹96.9 Cr.
• 📉 PEG ratio of -1.59 — poor growth valuation
• 📉 ROCE (8.77%) and ROE (6.76%) — low capital efficiency

📰 Company Negative News

• No major public negative news, but earnings decline and technical weakness are red flags

🌟 Company Positive News

• Stable balance sheet with low debt and slight increase in DII interest

🏭 Industry

• Industry P/E is 23.7 — FINPIPE trades at a premium (P/E: 31.7)
• Plastic piping and infrastructure sector remains cyclical and sensitive to construction demand

🧾 Conclusion

FINPIPE is a cautious swing trade candidate with weak technicals and declining earnings. Entry near support may offer a short-term opportunity if momentum improves. Exit near resistance or on RSI/MACD confirmation is advised.

I can also compare FINPIPE’s setup with peers like Supreme Industries or Astral to identify stronger swing trade alternatives.