FINPIPE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.1

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Setup: Price is slightly above 200 DMA (₹215) but below 50 DMA (₹209), suggesting a weak recovery phase.

MACD Mildly Positive: At 3.26, MACD shows early signs of momentum but lacks strength.

RSI Neutral: 57.0 is mid-range—no strong overbought or oversold signal.

Volume Drop: Current volume (6.8L) is significantly below 1-week average (11.7L), indicating reduced trader interest.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Stretch: P/E of 36.4 vs industry average of 23.6 and PEG of −1.82 signals overvaluation and negative growth expectations.

Profit Decline: PAT dropped from ₹150 Cr to ₹96.9 Cr (−45.8%)—a major concern for earnings momentum.

Moderate Returns: ROCE 8.77%, ROE 6.76%—below swing-grade efficiency.

Low Leverage: Debt-to-equity of 0.04 offers balance sheet stability.

Institutional Sentiment: FII and DII both reduced holdings—signals caution.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹205–₹210: Near 50 DMA and recent support zone. Entry only if MACD strengthens and volume picks up.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹235–₹240: First resistance zone. Consider partial exit if RSI crosses 65 or MACD flattens.

₹260–₹270: Final exit if momentum sustains toward recovery.

Trailing Stop: ₹208 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

FINPIPE is in a technical rebound but faces fundamental headwinds. It’s suitable for short-term tactical trades, not aggressive swings. Entry near support with confirmation is key. For cleaner setups, consider stocks with PEG < 1.5, ROCE > 15%, and MACD crossover.

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