FINCABLES - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.2

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Trend Weakness: Price is below both 50 DMA (₹869) and 200 DMA (₹963), indicating a bearish phase.

MACD Negative: At −5.17, MACD confirms downward momentum—no bullish crossover yet.

RSI Neutral: 46.7 suggests indecision, not oversold enough for a bounce setup.

Volume Soft: Current volume (1.21L) is below 1-week average (1.40L), showing reduced interest.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Valuation Reasonable: P/E of 23.1 vs industry average of 29.1 is fair; PEG of 2.21 is slightly stretched.

Strong Financials: ROCE 16.2%, ROE 12.4%, and zero debt—solid fundamentals for downside protection.

Profit Stability: PAT dipped from ₹152 Cr to ₹139 Cr (−8.5%), but Qtr Profit Var is +13.3%—still healthy.

Institutional Sentiment: FII marginally increased (+0.10%), DII reduced (−0.50%)—neutral to cautious.

🎯 Trade Strategy

🔹 Optimal Entry Price

₹820–₹830: Near recent support and below 50 DMA. Wait for MACD flattening and RSI to cross 50 before entry.

🔹 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

₹880–₹900: First resistance zone near 50 DMA. Consider partial exit if RSI crosses 60 or MACD turns positive.

₹1,050–₹1,100: Final exit zone if momentum recovers toward 200 DMA.

Trailing Stop: ₹810 to protect downside.

🧠 Summary

FINCABLES is in a technical pullback with strong fundamentals but weak momentum. It’s suitable for oversold bounce trades, not aggressive swings. Entry near support with confirmation is key; otherwise, capital is better deployed in setups with MACD crossover and stronger volume.

Want me to prep a filtered basket with MACD recovery, PEG < 1.5, and ROCE > 15% for tighter swing setups?

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