EMAMILTD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

✅ Strengths

Price Action: Trading above both 50 DMA (₹593) and 200 DMA (₹598), indicating short-term strength and trend stability.

MACD (3.45): Positive crossover, suggesting early bullish momentum.

RSI (53.3): Neutral-bullish zone, with room to rise before overbought.

ROCE (34.0%) & ROE (31.5%): Excellent capital efficiency.

Debt-to-Equity (0.00): Zero leverage—adds margin of safety.

Volume Surge: Current volume is ~20% higher than 1-week average—momentum supported.

DII Inflow (+0.38%): Mild domestic institutional support.

⚠️ Weaknesses

FII Outflow (–0.22%): Foreign investors reducing exposure.

PAT Decline: ₹163 Cr vs ₹190 Cr—sequential earnings contraction.

PEG (39.5): Extremely overvalued on growth-adjusted basis.

52W Index (36.3%): Trading near lower third of yearly range—no breakout confirmation.

P/E (31.2) vs Industry PE (52.8): Fairly valued, but not cheap.

Broker forecasts suggest a mid-year target of ₹719.61 and a year-end potential of ₹800.17, with long-term upside possibly reaching ₹1,111.45 by 2026 if macro conditions align

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🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹590–₹600 (near 50 DMA and VWAP)

Momentum Entry: ₹610–₹615 if RSI crosses 56 and MACD strengthens

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹720–₹740 (next resistance zone and mid-year target)

Stop Loss: ₹570 (below 200 DMA and recent support)

Exit Trigger: RSI dips below 50 or MACD flattens

Selva, EMAMILTD is a technically stable swing candidate with strong fundamentals and mild institutional support, though valuation and earnings softness suggest caution. If you're building a consumer staples basket or want alert logic for MACD and RSI thresholds, I can help you script it.

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