DCMSHRIRAM - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

✅ Strengths

Price Action: Trading above both 50 DMA (₹1,273) and 200 DMA (₹1,176), indicating short- and medium-term strength.

RSI (56.7): Neutral-bullish zone, with room to rise before overbought.

EPS (₹36.5) vs P/E (36.4): Fairly valued relative to earnings.

Volume: Reasonable, though slightly below 1-week average—momentum is steady.

DII Inflow (+0.28%): Mild domestic institutional support.

Debt-to-Equity (0.36): Moderate leverage—acceptable for swing setups.

⚠️ Weaknesses

MACD (–5.24): Bearish divergence—momentum is fading.

ROCE (10.8%) & ROE (8.07%): Weak capital efficiency.

PAT Decline: ₹96.7 Cr vs ₹175 Cr—significant drop in earnings.

PEG (–1.93): Negative PEG suggests unreliable growth valuation.

FII Hold Change (+0.04%): Flat foreign sentiment.

52W Index (72.1%): Mid-range performance—no breakout confirmation.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹1,295–₹1,310 (near VWAP and support zone)

Momentum Entry: ₹1,340–₹1,350 if MACD flattens and RSI crosses 60

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹1,470–₹1,490 (near 52W high and resistance zone)

Stop Loss: ₹1,255 (below 50 DMA and recent support)

Exit Trigger: RSI > 70 or MACD diverges further

Selva, DCMSHRIRAM offers a technically stable swing setup with moderate valuation support, but momentum and efficiency metrics suggest caution. If you're building a chemicals or agri-inputs basket, I can help you script MACD reversal alerts or optimize entry logic across the sector.

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