DALBHARAT - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

✅ Strengths

Price Action: Trading above both 50 DMA (₹2,312) and 200 DMA (₹2,082), confirming short- and medium-term strength.

MACD (41.8): Strong bullish momentum.

RSI (68.8): Approaching overbought—momentum is strong but near exhaustion.

52W Index (95.1%): Near yearly high, indicating breakout potential.

Zero Debt: Clean balance sheet adds margin of safety.

DII Inflow (+0.94%): Domestic institutions accumulating.

⚠️ Weaknesses

P/E (362) vs Industry PE (47.3): Extremely overvalued.

PEG (–114): Negative PEG suggests unreliable growth valuation.

ROCE (2.56%) & ROE (2.36%): Very weak capital efficiency.

PAT Qtr (₹33 Cr) vs Prev Qtr (₹77 Cr): Sharp earnings decline (–65.6%).

Volume Drop: Current volume is ~70% below 1-week average—momentum not broadly supported.

FII Outflow (–0.06%): Mild foreign investor caution.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹2,310–₹2,330 (near 50 DMA and breakout base)

Momentum Entry: ₹2,460–₹2,475 if RSI cools below 65 and MACD remains strong

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹2,495–₹2,510 (near 52W high and resistance zone)

Stop Loss: ₹2,250 (below 50 DMA and recent support)

Exit Trigger: RSI > 72 or MACD flattens

Selva, DALBHARAT is riding a high-momentum breakout with strong technical posture, but valuation and earnings deterioration demand tight risk control. If you're building a cement or infra basket, I can help you script MACD reversal alerts or optimize entry logic across the sector.

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