⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

CUMMINSIND - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

Stock Code CUMMINSIND Market Cap 1,15,656 Cr. Current Price 4,170 ₹ High / Low 4,615 ₹
Stock P/E 51.9 Book Value 265 ₹ Dividend Yield 1.24 % ROCE 37.6 %
ROE 28.8 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 4,187 ₹ DMA 200 3,899 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 1.07 % Chg in DII Hold -1.13 % PAT Qtr 638 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 555 Cr.
RSI 52.0 MACD -58.2 Volume 6,97,709 Avg Vol 1Wk 5,85,415
Low price 2,580 ₹ High price 4,615 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.47 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 78.1 % Qtr Profit Var 41.5 % EPS 81.6 ₹ Industry PE 36.1

📊 Cummins India (CUMMINSIND) shows strong fundamentals and profit growth but faces high valuation and weak short-term technical momentum. It is a moderately good candidate for swing trading with cautious positioning.

Optimal Entry Price: 4,100–4,150 ₹ (near support and slightly below 50 DMA)

🚪 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider exiting near 4,350–4,400 ₹ (short-term resistance zone) or if RSI moves above 60.

Positive

  • 💡 Strong ROCE (37.6%) and ROE (28.8%) indicate excellent efficiency.
  • 📈 EPS of 81.6 ₹ supports earnings strength.
  • 🏦 Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity: 0.00) ensures financial stability.
  • 📊 Quarterly PAT growth from 555 Cr. to 638 Cr. (+41.5%) shows robust performance.
  • 📈 Increase in FII holdings (+1.07%) reflects foreign investor confidence.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ High P/E (51.9) compared to industry average (36.1), suggesting premium valuation.
  • 📉 MACD (-58.2) signals weak momentum despite strong fundamentals.
  • 🔻 DII holdings decreased (-1.13%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.
  • 📊 Dividend yield of 1.24% is modest compared to peers.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 Decline in DII holdings (-1.13%) indicates cautious stance from domestic institutions.
  • 📊 High valuation may limit upside potential in the short term.

Company Positive News

  • 📈 Strong quarterly profit growth (+41.5%) highlights operational strength.
  • 📊 Increase in FII holdings (+1.07%) shows growing foreign investor trust.

Industry

  • 🏭 Industry P/E at 36.1 is lower than Cummins’ 51.9, suggesting overvaluation compared to peers.
  • 📈 Engineering and capital goods sector remains strong, supported by infrastructure and industrial demand.

Conclusion

🔎 Cummins India is fundamentally robust but technically weak in the short term. Swing traders may enter near 4,100–4,150 ₹ and exit near 4,350–4,400 ₹. Monitoring RSI and MACD is crucial, as momentum indicators suggest limited upside unless a reversal occurs.

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