CUMMINSIND - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 4.5

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

✅ Bullish Setup

Price Action: Trading above both 50 DMA (₹3,772) and 200 DMA (₹3,392), confirming strong short- and medium-term trend.

MACD (103): Exceptionally strong momentum signal.

RSI (73.6): Overbought zone—momentum is peaking, but still tradable with caution.

52W Index (95.8%): Near yearly high, indicating breakout strength.

Zero Debt: Clean balance sheet adds margin of safety.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

ROCE (37.6%) & ROE (28.8%): Excellent capital efficiency.

EPS (₹74.9) vs P/E (55.7): Slightly stretched valuation, but supported by strong earnings.

PEG (1.58): Reasonable growth-adjusted pricing.

Qtr Profit Growth (+32.3%): Robust earnings momentum.

FII Inflow (+0.29%): Foreign institutional support.

DII Outflow (–0.31%): Mild domestic caution.

Broker consensus targets suggest a downside from current levels, with an average target around ₹3,779

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. However, technical momentum may override short-term valuation concerns.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹3,770–₹3,790 (near 50 DMA and breakout base)

Momentum Entry: ₹4,110–₹4,130 if RSI cools below 70 and MACD remains strong

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹4,160–₹4,180 (near 52W high and resistance zone)

Stop Loss: ₹3,720 (below 50 DMA and recent support)

Exit Trigger: RSI > 75 or MACD flattens

Selva, CUMMINSIND is riding a high-momentum breakout with strong fundamentals and institutional interest. If you're building a capital goods basket or want alert logic for RSI cooling and MACD reversal, I can help you script it.

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