CONCOR - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Analysis Summary

Container Corporation of India (CONCOR) is currently in a technical downtrend with weakening momentum and declining institutional interest. While the fundamentals are stable and the downside risk appears limited, the stock lacks strong short-term catalysts. It may be suitable for a cautious swing trade if reversal signals emerge near support.

🔍 Technical Indicators

RSI (39.8): Approaching oversold — potential for bounce but not confirmed.

MACD (-1.61): Bearish — momentum remains weak.

Price vs DMA

Current Price (₹592) is below both 50 DMA (₹601) and 200 DMA (₹615) — bearish setup.

Volume: Slightly below average — weak conviction.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

P/E (34.3) vs Industry PE (28.8): Slightly overvalued.

PEG Ratio (4.49): High — growth is expensive.

ROE (10.8%) & ROCE (13.7%): Moderate — not very compelling.

EPS (₹16.9) vs Price (₹592): Fair valuation.

Qtr Profit Decline (-5.81%): Weak earnings momentum.

FII & DII Holding ↓: Institutional selling — negative sentiment.

Debt to Equity (0.07): Low — financially sound.

Dividend Yield (1.55%): Decent — adds some downside cushion.

✅ Entry Strategy (If Not Holding)

Optimal Entry Price: ₹580–₹590 range, near recent support.

Wait for RSI to cross 45 and MACD to flatten or turn positive.

Entry only if volume increases and price stabilizes above 50 DMA.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Exit near ₹615–₹625, close to 200 DMA resistance.

If price drops below ₹575, consider stop-loss at ₹560 to manage risk.

⚖️ Final Verdict

CONCOR is a technically weak, fundamentally average stock with limited short-term upside. It may offer a low-risk swing trade near support, but only if momentum indicators improve. Ideal for cautious traders with tight risk controls.

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