CONCOR - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:01 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 CONCOR shows moderate potential for swing trading. The stock is trading below both its 50 DMA (520 ₹) and 200 DMA (562 ₹), reflecting weak technical momentum. RSI at 37.6 indicates oversold conditions, while MACD (-6.55) confirms bearish sentiment. Fundamentally, the company is stable with low debt (0.07), decent ROCE (13.8%) and ROE (10.7%), but valuations are slightly stretched with a P/E of 29.8 compared to industry PE of 24.5. Overall, it is a cautious candidate for swing trading.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 490–500 ₹ (near support zone close to 481 ₹).

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 520–540 ₹ (resistance at 50 DMA) or trail stop-loss below 480 ₹ to manage risk.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Low debt-to-equity (0.07) ensures financial stability.
• 💰 Dividend yield of 1.85% provides steady income support.
• 📊 PAT improved from 258 Cr. to 377 Cr. in the latest quarter.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Trading below 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows weak technical strength.
• 📊 High PEG ratio (4.47) suggests poor growth relative to valuation.
• 📉 Book value (167 ₹) is significantly lower than current price, indicating stretched valuation on assets.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Quarterly profit variation (-4.90%) shows earnings decline.
• 📉 FII holding reduced (-0.36%) and DII holding reduced (-0.30%), reflecting institutional caution.
• 📉 52-week return only 12.2%, showing limited performance compared to peers.

🌟 Company Positive News

• 📈 PAT growth from 258 Cr. to 377 Cr. highlights operational improvement.
• 💡 EPS at 16.8 ₹ supports earnings visibility.

🏭 Industry

• 📊 Industry PE at 24.5, lower than CONCOR’s PE (29.8), suggesting sector trades at more reasonable valuations.
• 📈 Logistics and infrastructure demand remains supportive, driven by trade and supply chain expansion.

📌 Conclusion

CONCOR is a cautious swing trade candidate with oversold technicals and stable fundamentals. Entry near 490–500 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup, while exits should be targeted around 520–540 ₹. Caution is advised due to weak momentum, reduced institutional interest, and stretched valuations, but sector demand provides underlying support for short-term trades.

I can also prepare a comparison of CONCOR with another logistics stock to highlight relative swing trade strength.