COLPAL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

📊 Technical & Momentum Overview

✅ Strengths

MACD (17.3): Positive, indicating short-term bullish momentum.

RSI (52.8): Neutral zone, with room to rise before overbought.

Price Action: Trading slightly above 50 DMA (₹2,349), but below 200 DMA (₹2,515)—short-term strength, medium-term resistance.

Volume Stability: Current volume matches 1-week average—consistent participation.

ROCE (105%) & ROE (81.2%): Exceptional capital efficiency.

Low Debt (0.04): Strong financial safety.

DII Inflow (+1.50%): Domestic institutional support.

⚠️ Weaknesses

FII Outflow (–1.84%): Foreign investors exiting.

Qtr Profit Decline (–11.9%): Earnings contraction.

P/E (46.2) vs Industry PE (52.8): Slightly undervalued, but still expensive.

PEG (4.60): Overvalued on growth-adjusted basis.

52W Index (12.3%): Weak relative performance—far below yearly high (₹3,893).

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹2,340–₹2,355 (near 50 DMA and VWAP)

Momentum Entry: ₹2,375–₹2,385 if RSI crosses 55 and MACD strengthens

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target Exit: ₹2,490–₹2,515 (near 200 DMA and resistance zone)

Stop Loss: ₹2,295 (below recent support and VWAP)

Exit Trigger: RSI > 70 or MACD flattens

Selva, COLPAL offers a technically stable swing setup with elite efficiency metrics, but valuation and earnings softness suggest caution. If you're building a consumer staples basket or want alert logic for MACD and RSI thresholds, I can help you script it.

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