COLPAL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📉 Current Price: ₹2,190

📊 RSI: 40.0 (Approaching oversold zone)

📉 MACD: -15.7 (Bearish crossover)

📉 DMA 50 / 200: ₹2,273 / ₹2,444 (Price below both averages)

📉 Volume: 4,90,137 vs 1Wk Avg 5,80,722 (Below average)

💰 Market Cap: ₹59,572 Cr

📉 Qtr Profit Decline: -17.1%

📉 FII Holding: -3.23%

📈 DII Holding: +2.61%

📌 Optimal Entry Price

🎯 Entry Range: ₹2,160–₹2,180 (Near support zone and RSI oversold)

📤 Exit Strategy

💡 Exit if: Price approaches ₹2,300–₹2,340 or RSI crosses 65 with weakening volume.

✅ Positive

• Exceptional ROCE (105%) and ROE (81.2%) indicate outstanding capital efficiency
• EPS of ₹48.8 reflects strong earnings
• Dividend yield of 2.33% adds income cushion
• DII holding increased significantly (+2.61%)
• Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.04 supports financial stability

⚠️ Limitation

• Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA
• MACD and RSI show weak technical momentum
• High PEG ratio (4.48) suggests overvaluation
• Volume below weekly average

📰 Company Negative News

• Quarterly PAT declined from ₹321 Cr to ₹328 Cr with negative profit variation
• FII holding dropped by 3.23%

📈 Company Positive News

• DII holding increased, signaling domestic institutional confidence
• Fundamentals remain strong despite short-term technical weakness

🏭 Industry

• Industry P/E: 51.6 (higher than stock P/E)
• FMCG sector remains defensive and resilient, especially in volatile markets

🔚 Conclusion

COLPAL offers a fundamentally strong swing trade setup with excellent return ratios and institutional support. However, technical indicators suggest caution. Entry near ₹2,160–₹2,180 is favorable, with an exit target around ₹2,300–₹2,340. A stop-loss below ₹2,140 is recommended to manage downside risk.

I can also track RSI and MACD trends for COLPAL to alert you when bullish momentum begins to build.