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CHOICEIN - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 2.8

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:16 am

Swing Trade Rating: 2.8

Stock Code CHOICEIN Market Cap 17,379 Cr. Current Price 783 ₹ High / Low 860 ₹
Stock P/E 998 Book Value 25.1 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 3.15 %
ROE 2.05 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 791 ₹ DMA 200 737 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.81 % Chg in DII Hold 0.02 % PAT Qtr 0.68 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr Cr.
RSI 49.0 MACD -10.4 Volume 8,66,904 Avg Vol 1Wk 7,02,372
Low price 438 ₹ High price 860 ₹ PEG Ratio 19.7 Debt to equity 0.03
52w Index 81.6 % Qtr Profit Var -64.2 % EPS 0.42 ₹ Industry PE 19.9

📊 CHOICEIN shows weak potential for swing trading. The stock is trading close to its 50 DMA and above the 200 DMA, reflecting some technical support. However, extremely high valuation (P/E 998 vs. industry 19.9), poor profitability metrics, and sharp quarterly profit decline make it a risky candidate. While volumes are rising, fundamentals remain unattractive for short-term gains.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: Around 760–770 ₹ (near support zone, slightly below current price).

📈 Exit Strategy if Holding: Consider booking profits near 820–830 ₹ (short-term resistance) or if RSI rises above 60.

✅ Positive

  • Stock trading above 200 DMA (737 ₹), showing long-term support.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 0.03 — virtually debt-free.
  • Volume (8.66 lakh) higher than average weekly volume (7.02 lakh), indicating strong participation.
  • 52-week index at 81.6% shows the stock is closer to its yearly high, reflecting investor interest.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E of 998 compared to industry average of 19.9 — stock is severely overvalued.
  • ROCE at 3.15% and ROE at 2.05% are very weak.
  • Dividend yield at 0.00% offers no income appeal.
  • EPS of 0.42 ₹ is very low, limiting earnings visibility.
  • PEG ratio of 19.7 indicates growth is overpriced.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT of 0.68 Cr. with a -64.2% variation shows sharp earnings decline.
  • Decline in FII holdings (-0.81%) indicates reduced foreign investor confidence.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased slightly (+0.02%), showing minimal domestic support.
  • Stock trading above 200 DMA, reflecting some technical strength.

🏦 Industry

  • Industry P/E at 19.9 is far lower than CHOICEIN’s 998, highlighting severe overvaluation.
  • Financial services sector outlook remains steady, but valuations are critical for sustainability.

🔎 Conclusion

CHOICEIN earns a swing trade rating of 2.8. Entry near 760–770 ₹ offers a cautious opportunity, while exit around 820–830 ₹ is optimal. Despite technical support and rising volumes, extreme overvaluation, weak profitability, and declining earnings make this a high-risk swing trade candidate. Traders should exercise caution and use strict stop-losses.

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