BHEL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.9

📉 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

⚠️ Weak Fundamentals

P/E of 302 vs industry 49.5 — extremely overvalued.

PEG ratio 41.8 — unsustainable valuation relative to growth.

EPS ₹0.78 and Book Value ₹72.1 — weak intrinsic metrics.

ROCE (4.75%) and ROE (2.00%) — poor capital efficiency.

PAT Qtr -₹455 Cr. vs ₹504 Cr. — sharp earnings reversal.

Qtr Profit Var -114% — confirms volatility and inconsistency.

✅ Technical Positives

MACD at 0.99 and RSI at 61.8 — mild bullish momentum.

Price near DMA50 (₹230) and DMA200 (₹234) — pivot zone.

DII holding increased (+2.11%) — strong domestic support.

Debt-to-equity 0.36 — moderate leverage.

Volume decent — but below weekly average.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

Broker consensus places BHEL’s short-term price target around ₹256, suggesting ~9% upside from current levels

1

. However, technical charts show resistance near ₹240–₹245, and futures sentiment is mixed with weakening open interest

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. Long-term projections are bullish due to government support and sector diversification, but short-term momentum remains fragile

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.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal entry: ₹228–₹232, near DMA50 and support zone.

Confirm entry only if MACD remains positive and RSI holds above 60 with volume >55L.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹248–₹256 (near resistance and analyst target).

Stop-loss: ₹222 (below DMA50 and recent swing low).

Exit trigger: RSI > 70 or MACD divergence near ₹256.

This setup is technically neutral but fundamentally weak. If you're basket-optimizing across PSU or infra themes, I can scan for peers with stronger earnings momentum and better PEG ratios. Just say the word.

1

trendlyne.com

2

in.tradingview.com

3

shareprice-target.com

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