⚠ Disclaimer: This report is generated using AI tools and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a registered financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

BHEL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.1

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:13 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.1

Stock Code BHEL Market Cap 94,851 Cr. Current Price 273 ₹ High / Low 306 ₹
Stock P/E 119 Book Value 71.2 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.18 % ROCE 4.75 %
ROE 2.00 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 268 ₹ DMA 200 254 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.05 % Chg in DII Hold 1.08 % PAT Qtr 382 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 368 Cr.
RSI 54.4 MACD -3.84 Volume 89,26,852 Avg Vol 1Wk 94,60,951
Low price 176 ₹ High price 306 ₹ PEG Ratio 16.5 Debt to equity 0.44
52w Index 74.3 % Qtr Profit Var 207 % EPS 2.30 ₹ Industry PE 40.7

📊 BHEL has shown strong price recovery and institutional support, but fundamentals remain weak with stretched valuations. It can be considered for swing trading with caution, especially near support levels.

💡 Optimal Entry Price: 260–265 ₹ (near 50 DMA support).

🚪 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 300–305 ₹ (recent high resistance) or if RSI moves above 65, signaling overbought conditions.

✅ Positive

  • Market cap of 94,851 Cr. reflects strong investor interest.
  • Quarterly PAT growth of 207% shows earnings recovery momentum.
  • DII holdings increased (+1.08%), indicating domestic institutional confidence.
  • Stock trading above 50 DMA (268 ₹) and 200 DMA (254 ₹), showing bullish support.

⚠️ Limitation

  • Extremely high P/E ratio (119) compared to industry average (40.7), suggesting overvaluation.
  • Weak ROCE (4.75%) and ROE (2.00%) indicate poor capital efficiency.
  • PEG ratio of 16.5 highlights expensive growth prospects.
  • Dividend yield of 0.18% is very low, limiting investor returns.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Fundamentals remain weak despite profit recovery, with low ROE and ROCE.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44 adds financial risk compared to peers.
  • MACD at -3.84 indicates weakening momentum.

📈 Company Positive News

  • PAT improved from 368 Cr. to 382 Cr., showing earnings growth.
  • FII holdings increased slightly (+0.05%), reflecting foreign investor interest.
  • DII holdings rose significantly (+1.08%), strengthening domestic support.

🏭 Industry

  • Power and engineering sector benefits from infrastructure and government projects.
  • Industry PE at 40.7 is much lower than BHEL’s valuation, showing premium pricing.

🔎 Conclusion

BHEL is a momentum-driven swing trade candidate with strong institutional support but weak fundamentals and stretched valuations. Entry near 260–265 ₹ is favorable, with exit around 300–305 ₹. Traders should monitor RSI, MACD, and institutional flows closely before committing.

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