BEML - Swing Trade Analysis
Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am
Back to Swing Trade List📊 Swing Trade Analysis for BEML Ltd.
Swing Trade Rating: 3.8
📉 Technical Overview
Current Price ₹4,063 is below the 50-DMA ₹4,214 but comfortably above the 200-DMA ₹3,775, suggesting recent weakness in an otherwise uptrend.
RSI (37.3): Trending near oversold — signals a possible bounce.
MACD (-57.5): Bearish divergence — current momentum remains negative.
Volume (4.0 lakh) is marginally higher than 1-week average (3.82 lakh), showing stable participation.
🔍 Interpretation: Momentum is weak but setup could favor reversal if it holds above 200-DMA and RSI stabilizes.
💼 Fundamental Snapshot
P/E (57.9) vs Industry PE (44.5): Premium valuation — priced for high growth.
PEG Ratio (1.83): Reasonable — growth outlook supports elevated P/E to some extent.
EPS ₹70.3, Book Value ₹694: Valuations slightly stretched.
ROE (10.5%) & ROCE (15.6%): Fair returns — not aggressive but respectable.
Debt-to-Equity (0.08): Very low leverage — positive for risk-averse traders.
PAT Qtr ₹288 Cr vs. Prev ₹24.4 Cr: Massive jump — Qtr Profit Var +12.0%, indicating recent financial strength.
FII Hold -1.60%, DII +0.05%: Mixed institutional sentiment.
🧠 Insight: Fundamentally stable, strong recent earnings boost — but valuation rich and technical setup still weak.
✅ Optimal Entry Price
Entry Zone: ₹4,000–₹4,050 — near minor support.
Stop-Loss: ₹3,950 — just below support and 200-DMA cushion.
🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)
Conservative Target: ₹4,200–₹4,300 — around 50-DMA resistance.
Aggressive Target: ₹4,500–₹4,600 — if breakout above DMA 50 is supported by volume.
Trail Stop-Loss: ₹4,100 after surpassing ₹4,200 — protects gains.
💡 Final Word
BEML holds swing potential in its fundamentals and price stability, but entry should be timed cautiously due to short-term technical weakness. A close eye on volume and MACD crossover can elevate confidence.
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