BEML - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Bullish Indicators

MACD at 76.0 — strong momentum confirmation.

RSI at 60.7 — trending, but not overheated.

Price above DMA50 (₹4,123) and DMA200 (₹3,859) — confirms short-term uptrend.

Debt-to-equity at 0.08 — low leverage, favorable for volatility control.

EPS ₹72.2 with improving Qtr Profit Var (+8.74%) — earnings recovery underway.

ROCE (16.1%) and ROE (10.6%) — decent capital efficiency.

52w Index at 79.2% — still has room before retesting highs.

⚠️ Risk Factors

P/E of 60.3 vs industry 37.7 — richly valued.

PEG ratio 2.04 — expensive relative to growth.

FII holding dropped (-1.59%) — foreign sentiment weakening.

Recent PAT negative (-₹63.9 Cr.) — earnings volatility.

Volume below average (2.58L vs 9.21L) — waning participation.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal entry: ₹4,280–₹4,310, near DMA50 support and MACD confirmation zone.

Entry only if volume picks up and RSI holds above 58.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹4,600–₹4,650 (near resistance and psychological round number).

Stop-loss: ₹4,180 (below DMA50 and recent swing low).

Exit trigger: RSI > 70 or MACD divergence near ₹4,650.

This setup is technically favorable but earnings inconsistency and valuation premium warrant caution. If you’re basket-building, I can scan for capital goods or infra stocks with stronger earnings momentum and MACD crossover setups. Want that filtered rotation set?

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