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BEML - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:12 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

Stock Code BEML Market Cap 14,683 Cr. Current Price 1,765 ₹ High / Low 2,437 ₹
Stock P/E 48.4 Book Value 333 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.60 % ROCE 16.1 %
ROE 10.6 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 1,807 ₹ DMA 200 1,905 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.31 % Chg in DII Hold -0.15 % PAT Qtr 54.8 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -63.9 Cr.
RSI 49.8 MACD -18.1 Volume 1,65,109 Avg Vol 1Wk 4,09,307
Low price 1,173 ₹ High price 2,437 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.63 Debt to equity 0.24
52w Index 46.8 % Qtr Profit Var 6.59 % EPS 36.5 ₹ Industry PE 32.4

📊 BEML (₹1,765) and BASF (₹3,754) show mixed swing trade potential. BEML trades slightly below its 50 DMA (₹1,807) and 200 DMA (₹1,905), with RSI at 49.8 and negative MACD (-18.1), indicating weak momentum. Fundamentals are moderate with P/E 48.4 vs industry 32.4, ROCE 16.1%, and ROE 10.6%. Quarterly PAT improved (₹54.8 Cr. vs -₹63.9 Cr.), showing recovery. BASF trades below both DMAs with RSI at 52.2 and negative MACD (-52.4), suggesting bearish momentum. Fundamentals show high P/E (42.3 vs industry 27.4), declining PAT (₹101 Cr. vs ₹147 Cr.), but strong ROCE (18%) and ROE (13.7%). Both stocks are overvalued compared to industry averages, making them cautious swing trade candidates.

💡 Optimal Entry Price:

- BEML: ₹1,720–₹1,740 (near support).

- BASF: ₹3,600–₹3,650 (support zone).

💡 Exit Strategy:

- BEML: Exit near ₹1,850–₹1,880 if momentum improves.

- BASF: Exit near ₹3,950–₹4,000 on rebound.

✅ Positive

  • BEML: PAT recovery from losses, decent ROCE (16.1%), dividend yield 0.60%, PEG ratio 1.63 indicates fair valuation.
  • BASF: Strong ROCE (18%) and ROE (13.7%), low debt-to-equity (0.04), EPS ₹92.2, dividend yield 0.53%.

⚠️ Limitation

  • BEML: Trading below DMAs, weak technical momentum, FII and DII holdings reduced, high P/E compared to industry.
  • BASF: Declining quarterly PAT (-21%), negative PEG ratio (-6.33), weak technicals with MACD bearish.

📉 Company Negative News

  • BEML: Reduced investor participation (lower volumes, FII/DII holding cuts).
  • BASF: Profit decline in recent quarter, valuation premium despite weaker earnings.

📈 Company Positive News

  • BEML: Turnaround in profitability, EPS ₹36.5, improving fundamentals.
  • BASF: Strong balance sheet, consistent dividend payout, low leverage.

🏭 Industry

  • BEML: Industry PE ~32.4, company trades at premium, reflecting growth expectations in capital goods sector.
  • BASF: Industry PE ~27.4, company trades at higher valuation despite weaker earnings, showing cautious sentiment in chemicals sector.

🔎 Conclusion

BEML shows recovery signs but weak technicals, making it a cautious swing trade candidate with entry near ₹1,720–₹1,740 and exit around ₹1,850–₹1,880. BASF is fundamentally stable but faces declining profits and bearish technicals, suitable only for rebound trades near ₹3,600–₹3,650 with exit around ₹3,950–₹4,000. Both require strict stop-loss discipline due to valuation risks and weak momentum.

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