BDL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

✅ Positives

MACD at 2.95 and RSI at 59.4 — confirms mild bullish momentum.

Price above DMA50 (₹1,587) and DMA200 (₹1,500) — short-term trend intact.

Zero debt — strong financial structure.

ROCE (19.7%) and ROE (14.4%) — solid capital efficiency.

FII (+0.52%) and DII (+0.65%) holding increased — institutional support.

Qtr Profit Var +154% — strong earnings rebound.

EPS ₹15.3 — improving profitability.

⚠️ Weaknesses

P/E of 105 vs industry 75.3 — significantly overvalued.

PEG ratio 63.8 — extremely expensive relative to growth.

Volume below average — short-term interest fading.

Book Value ₹109 vs CMP ₹1,609 — high price-to-book ratio.

PAT Qtr ₹18.4 Cr. vs ₹273 Cr. — sharp drop in profitability this quarter.

52w Index at 59.6% — mid-range, no breakout confirmation.

🧭 Trend Context (September 2025)

Analyst consensus places BDL’s short-term price target around ₹1,650, with downside risk toward ₹1,470

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. The stock is currently trading near a pivot zone, and while long-term forecasts remain bullish, short-term caution is advised due to valuation and earnings volatility.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Ideal entry: ₹1,580–₹1,590, near DMA50 and MACD support zone.

Confirm entry only if RSI holds above 58 and volume exceeds 20L.

🚪 Exit Strategy (If Already Holding)

Target zone: ₹1,645–₹1,670 (near short-term resistance and analyst target).

Stop-loss: ₹1,540 (below DMA50 and recent swing low).

Exit trigger: RSI > 70 or MACD divergence near ₹1,670.

This setup is technically stable but fundamentally stretched. If you're basket-building across defense or mid-cap industrials, I can scan for peers with better PEG and volume breakout setups. Just say the word.

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trendlyne.com

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www.stocks-buy.com

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