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BALKRISIND - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 05 Feb 26, 02:12 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

Stock Code BALKRISIND Market Cap 51,636 Cr. Current Price 2,669 ₹ High / Low 2,840 ₹
Stock P/E 40.1 Book Value 540 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.60 % ROCE 16.5 %
ROE 15.5 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 2,384 ₹ DMA 200 2,445 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.30 % Chg in DII Hold -0.13 % PAT Qtr 375 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 265 Cr.
RSI 73.4 MACD 30.1 Volume 3,87,007 Avg Vol 1Wk 6,57,768
Low price 2,152 ₹ High price 2,840 ₹ PEG Ratio 9.21 Debt to equity 0.35
52w Index 75.2 % Qtr Profit Var -14.7 % EPS 66.7 ₹ Industry PE 30.2

📊 BALKRISIND (₹2,669) and BAJAJHFL (₹91.8) show contrasting swing trade setups. BALKRISIND trades well above its 50 DMA (₹2,384) and 200 DMA (₹2,445), with RSI at 73.4 (overbought) and positive MACD (30.1), indicating strong bullish momentum but risk of short-term correction. Fundamentals are decent with ROCE 16.5%, ROE 15.5%, and PAT growth (₹375 Cr. vs ₹265 Cr.), though P/E 40.1 vs industry 30.2 and PEG ratio 9.21 suggest overvaluation. BAJAJHFL trades below both DMAs (₹95.3 and ₹109), with RSI at 48.3 and negative MACD (-1.51), showing weak momentum. Fundamentals are weaker with high debt-to-equity (4.44), low EPS (₹2.97), and P/E 30.8 vs industry 16.4, though PAT growth (₹675 Cr. vs ₹643 Cr.) and DII inflows (+0.85%) provide some support. BALKRISIND is better suited for swing trading, while BAJAJHFL remains speculative.

💡 Optimal Entry Price:

- BALKRISIND: ₹2,550–₹2,600 (near support, avoid chasing highs).

- BAJAJHFL: ₹88–₹90 (speculative entry near support).

💡 Exit Strategy:

- BALKRISIND: Exit near ₹2,800–₹2,840 unless momentum sustains.

- BAJAJHFL: Exit near ₹98–₹100 if rebound occurs.

✅ Positive

  • BALKRISIND: Strong technical momentum, PAT growth, ROCE 16.5% and ROE 15.5%, dividend yield 0.60%.
  • BAJAJHFL: PAT growth (₹675 Cr. vs ₹643 Cr.), PEG ratio 0.68 indicates fair valuation, DII holdings increased (+0.85%).

⚠️ Limitation

  • BALKRISIND: RSI overbought (73.4), high P/E (40.1 vs industry 30.2), PEG ratio 9.21 suggests stretched valuation.
  • BAJAJHFL: High debt-to-equity (4.44), weak technicals (below DMAs), low EPS (₹2.97), no dividend yield.

📉 Company Negative News

  • BALKRISIND: Overvaluation risk, profit variation (-14.7%) in recent quarter.
  • BAJAJHFL: High leverage risk, weak technical indicators.

📈 Company Positive News

  • BALKRISIND: Strong quarterly PAT growth, EPS ₹66.7, resilient demand in tyre sector.
  • BAJAJHFL: Profit growth continues, DII inflows support sentiment.

🏭 Industry

  • BALKRISIND: Industry PE ~30.2, company trades at premium, reflecting growth expectations in auto ancillary sector.
  • BAJAJHFL: Industry PE ~16.4, company trades at premium despite weak fundamentals.

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