ASAHIINDIA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading well above both 50-DMA (₹841) and 200-DMA (₹756), confirming strong short-term momentum.

RSI (63.6): Bullish zone — momentum is strong but nearing overbought territory.

MACD (14.6): Positive crossover — confirms upward momentum.

Volume: Above 1-week average — healthy participation supports the move.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 69.0 Significantly overvalued vs industry PE (29.1) — valuation risk

PEG Ratio -460 Negative — indicates unsustainable valuation relative to growth

ROCE / ROE 12.0% / 13.2% Moderate efficiency — acceptable for tactical swing

Debt-to-Equity 0.96 Elevated — adds financial risk and volatility

PAT Growth (QoQ) -41.6% Sharp decline — sentiment risk

FII/DII Change -0.41% / +0.15% Mild institutional trimming — neutral impact

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Momentum-driven setup with breakout confirmation but valuation and earnings risks.

Catalyst: MACD strength + price breakout near 52-week high + volume confirmation.

Risk: Elevated P/E, negative PEG, and declining profits — tight stop-loss required.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹890–₹905

(Pullback toward breakout zone with stop-loss below ₹860)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹940–₹960 (Extension zone above 52-week high)

Stop-Loss: ₹860 (Below 50-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup fits a short-term tactical basket with momentum confirmation but lacks margin-of-safety fundamentals. If you're refining your auto glass or industrial rotation, I can scan for peers with stronger ROCE and lower PEG overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you're ready.

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