ASAHIINDIA - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

Entry Zone: ₹930–₹950 (only if RSI < 65 and MACD sustains)

Exit if held: ₹980–₹995 (psychological round number and breakout extension zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📈 Current Price: ₹960
• 📈 52W High/Low: ₹960 / ₹577
• 📈 RSI: 61.7 (bullish but nearing overbought)
• 📈 MACD: 16.1 (strong bullish crossover)
• 📈 Volume: 3.85L vs 1W Avg 1.57L (sharp surge)
• 📈 FII/DII Holding Change: +1.13% / +3.38%
• 📉 P/E: 76.0 vs Industry 32.8 (valuation premium)
• 📉 PEG Ratio: -507 — distorted due to earnings contraction

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 12.0% and 13.2% — decent capital efficiency.
• 📈 MACD & Volume: Strong bullish momentum with institutional participation.
• 📈 Above DMA 50 & 200: Trend confirmation with breakout to new highs.
• 📈 FII/DII Accumulation: Indicates confidence in long-term outlook.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Valuation Stretch: P/E of 76 — significantly above industry average.
• 📉 Debt to Equity: 0.96 — moderately leveraged.
• 📉 Qtr Profit Var: -30.2% — sequential earnings decline.
• 📉 Dividend Yield: 0.21% — minimal passive income.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Q2FY26 PAT: ₹53.4 Cr vs ₹91.4 Cr QoQ — margin pressure from input costs and OEM slowdown.
• 📉 Export Headwinds: European demand softening amid regulatory changes in auto glass standards.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 52W Breakout: Stock hit all-time high on strong volume — bullish sentiment.
• 📈 FII/DII Buying: Post-Q2 accumulation suggests long-term confidence despite earnings dip.
• 📈 EV Segment: New orders from EV OEMs expected to boost topline in FY27.

🚘 Industry

• 📈 Auto OEM Demand: Domestic PV sales strong — tailwind for auto glass suppliers.
• 📉 Margin Pressure: Energy and raw material costs remain volatile.

🧾 Conclusion

• ✅ Technically strong swing setup with breakout, volume, and MACD confirmation.
• 📥 Entry near ₹930–₹950 if RSI < 65 and MACD sustains.
• 📤 Exit near ₹980–₹995 (breakout extension zone).
• 📈 Momentum strong, valuation rich — suitable for alert-driven tactical trades with basket overlay.

Sources

Business Standard – Q2 Earnings

Moneycontrol – Technical Breakout

ET Auto – EV Segment Orders