APTUS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

Entry Zone: ₹285–₹295 (only if MACD flattens and RSI > 40)

Exit if held: ₹318–₹322 (near DMA 50/200 and resistance zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹296
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹365 / ₹268
• 📉 RSI: 35.8 (oversold zone)
• 📉 MACD: -4.58 (bearish crossover)
• 📈 Volume: 36.5L vs 1W Avg 30.3L (above average)
• 📈 FII/DII Holding Change: +4.95% / +9.83%
• 📈 P/E: 22.2 vs Industry 17.7 (moderate premium)
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 0.96 — fair growth pricing

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 14.3% and 16.0% — solid capital efficiency.
• 📈 EPS: ₹13.4 — stable earnings base.
• 📈 Volume Surge: Indicates institutional interest near support zone.
• 📈 FII/DII Accumulation: Strong buying by institutions post Q2 results.
• 📈 Qtr Profit Var: 47.6% — strong sequential growth.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 MACD Negative: Momentum weak — no confirmation yet.
• 📉 RSI < 40: Oversold — wait for reversal signal.
• 📉 Debt to Equity: 1.23 — moderately leveraged.
• 📉 Below DMA 50 & 200: Trend not yet confirmed.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Valuation Risk: Trading near 20x trailing earnings — premium vs peers.
• 📉 Housing Sentiment: Rural demand softening amid monsoon delays and inflation concerns.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Q2FY26 PAT: ₹226.5 Cr vs ₹182 Cr YoY — 24.5% growth.
• 📈 Total Income: ₹554 Cr — up 27.4% YoY.
• 📈 Disbursements: ₹963 Cr — up 24% QoQ.
• 📈 Branch Expansion: Added 20 new locations — now 321 branches.
• 📈 Reclassification Update: Shares rose 3.3% on NSE amid investor optimism.

🏠 Industry

• 📈 Affordable Housing: Government push and urban migration driving long-term demand.
• 📉 Rate Sensitivity: NBFCs face margin pressure if rate cycle turns.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Not ideal for fresh swing entry unless MACD flattens and RSI > 40 with volume confirmation.
• 📤 If already held, exit near ₹318–₹322 (DMA resistance zone).
• 📈 Fundamentals strong, technicals weak — suitable for alert-driven tactical trades with basket overlay.

Sources

ET Realty – Q2 PAT Growth

The Hindu Business Line – Branch Expansion

Business Standard – Reclassification Update