APTUS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6 (APTUS)

📊 APTUS shows moderate potential for swing trading. The current price (274 ₹) is slightly below the 50 DMA (280 ₹) and 200 DMA (303 ₹), reflecting short-term weakness. RSI at 49.6 indicates neutrality, while MACD (-2.15) suggests mild bearish sentiment. Fundamentals are fair with ROCE (14.3%) and ROE (16.0%), but debt-to-equity (1.23) is relatively high. Quarterly PAT decline (160 Cr vs 202 Cr) raises caution, though PEG ratio (0.86) suggests reasonable valuation.

✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around 265–270 ₹ (near support zone close to 257 ₹).

📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 290–300 ₹ (resistance around 200 DMA) or set a stop-loss below 260 ₹.

Positive

• EPS of 13.7 ₹ supports profitability.
• DII holdings increased (+1.42%), showing domestic institutional confidence.
• Dividend yield of 1.64% provides investor returns.
• PEG ratio of 0.86 indicates fair valuation relative to growth.

Limitation

• Price trading below DMA levels signals weak short-term momentum.
• Quarterly PAT declined (160 Cr vs 202 Cr).
• High debt-to-equity ratio (1.23) adds financial risk.
• FII holdings declined (-2.17%), showing reduced foreign investor interest.

Company Negative News

• Quarterly profit decline raises concerns about earnings stability.

Company Positive News

• DII holdings increased, reflecting confidence.
• EPS and dividend yield provide investor support.

Industry

• Industry P/E at 16.4 is lower than company’s P/E (19.9), suggesting slight overvaluation.
• Housing finance sector benefits from long-term demand growth.

Conclusion

⚖️ APTUS is a moderately attractive swing trade candidate with fair valuation and dividend support, but faces short-term weakness due to declining profits and high debt. Entry near 265–270 ₹ offers a safer risk-reward setup. Exit near 290–300 ₹ is advisable if already holding. Traders should remain cautious and use strict stop-loss discipline.

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9 (APOLLOTYRE)

📊 APOLLOTYRE shows good potential for swing trading. The current price (512 ₹) is above both the 50 DMA (505 ₹) and 200 DMA (489 ₹), reflecting bullish momentum. RSI at 54.8 indicates neutrality, while MACD (-2.96) suggests mild bearish sentiment. Fundamentals are average with ROCE (9.80%) and ROE (6.28%), but quarterly PAT growth (279 Cr vs 223 Cr, +66.8%) adds strong positive sentiment. Valuation is stretched with P/E (42.2 vs industry 30.2).

✅ Optimal Entry Price: Around 500–510 ₹ (near support zone close to 489 ₹).

📈 Exit Strategy: If already holding, consider exiting near 530–540 ₹ (close to recent highs) or set a stop-loss below 490 ₹.

Positive

• Quarterly PAT growth (+66.8%) shows strong earnings momentum.
• EPS of 12.2 ₹ supports profitability.
• FII holdings increased (+0.36%), showing foreign investor confidence.
• Dividend yield of 0.98% provides investor returns.

Limitation

• ROCE (9.80%) and ROE (6.28%) are relatively weak.
• P/E ratio (42.2) compared to industry average (30.2) suggests overvaluation.
• MACD (-2.96) indicates mild bearish sentiment.
• DII holdings declined (-0.04%), showing reduced domestic institutional support.

Company Negative News

• No major external negative news reported, but weak efficiency metrics remain concerns.

Company Positive News

• Quarterly PAT growth (279 Cr vs 223 Cr) highlights strong operational performance.
• EPS and dividend yield provide investor support.

Industry

• Industry P/E at 30.2 is lower than company’s P/E (42.2), suggesting relative overvaluation.
• Automobile and tyre sector benefits from rising demand in commercial and passenger vehicles.

Conclusion

⚖️ APOLLOTYRE is a good swing trade candidate with strong profit growth and bullish technical indicators, but faces valuation concerns and weak efficiency metrics. Entry near 500–510 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup. Exit near 530–540 ₹ is advisable if already holding. Traders should remain cautious and use strict stop-loss discipline.