APTUS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 20 Dec 25, 07:00 am

Swing Trade Rating: 3.9

📊 APTUS shows good potential for swing trading. The RSI at 43.9 suggests neutral momentum, while the MACD (-1.86) indicates mild bearishness. The price is below both the 50 DMA (295 ₹) and 200 DMA (313 ₹), showing short-term weakness but strong volume support. Optimal entry would be near 275–285 ₹, close to the support zone. If already holding, consider exiting near 305–315 ₹, with potential extension to 330 ₹ if momentum strengthens.

✅ Positive

• 📈 Quarterly profit growth (+47.6%) highlights strong earnings momentum.
• 💹 FII (+4.95%) and DII (+9.83%) holdings increased, showing strong institutional confidence.
• 💰 Dividend yield of 1.60% provides shareholder returns.
• 📊 PEG ratio of 0.92 suggests fair valuation relative to growth.
• 📈 Strong trading volume (25.5 lakh vs avg 10.5 lakh) indicates liquidity and investor interest.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.23 indicates high leverage risk.
• 📉 Price below DMA 50 & DMA 200, confirming short-term weakness.
• 📉 P/E of 21.2 is slightly higher than industry average (18.0).
• 📉 ROCE (14.3%) and ROE (16.0%) are moderate compared to peers.

🚨 Company Negative News

High debt levels (Debt-to-equity 1.23) raise financial risk concerns. Technical indicators remain weak with price below moving averages and negative MACD. Valuation is slightly above industry average.

🌟 Company Positive News

Strong quarterly profit growth (+47.6%) and significant institutional inflows (FII +4.95%, DII +9.83%) highlight confidence. Dividend yield adds shareholder value, and PEG ratio suggests fair valuation relative to growth.

🏭 Industry

The housing finance industry trades at an average P/E of 18.0, while APTUS trades at 21.2, making it slightly more expensive compared to peers. Sector demand remains steady, supporting medium-term opportunities.

📌 Conclusion

APTUS is a good candidate for swing trading. Entry near 275–285 ₹ offers a favorable risk-reward setup. Exit strategy should target 305–315 ₹, with potential upside toward 330 ₹ if momentum strengthens. Traders should remain cautious due to high debt levels but can benefit from strong earnings growth and institutional support.

Would you like me to also highlight a stop-loss level around 270 ₹ to strengthen the risk management strategy?