APLLTD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Entry Zone: ₹940–₹955 (only if MACD flattens and RSI stays below 65)

Exit if held: ₹1,020–₹1,050 (near resistance and prior breakout zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📈 Current Price: ₹961
• 📈 52W High/Low: ₹1,153 / ₹725
• 📈 RSI: 62.3 (approaching overbought)
• 📉 MACD: -3.20 (bearish divergence)
• 📈 Volume: 16.6L vs 1W Avg 4.86L (strong surge)
• 📈 FII/DII Holding Change: +0.08% / -0.16%
• 📈 P/E: 42.5 vs Industry 33.1 (premium valuation)
• 📉 PEG Ratio: -12.9 (not meaningful due to earnings base)

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 11.3% and 9.68% — improving capital efficiency.
• 📈 EPS: ₹22.6 — solid earnings base.
• 📈 Volume Spike: Indicates strong institutional interest post Q2 results.
• 📈 Above DMA 50 & 200: Price sustaining above key averages.
• 📈 Dividend Yield: 1.14% — modest passive income.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 MACD Negative: Bearish divergence despite price strength.
• 📉 RSI > 60: Approaching overbought — caution for fresh entry.
• 📉 PEG Ratio: Negative — not a reliable growth valuation metric currently.
• 📉 DII Exit: Domestic institutions trimmed stake slightly.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 India Branded Business: Slower growth at 5% YoY — lagging peers in domestic formulations.
• 📉 Valuation Risk: P/E at 42.5 — premium vs sector average.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Q2FY26 PAT: ₹185 Cr — up 21% YoY; revenue ₹1,910 Cr, up 16% YoY.
• 📈 US Generics: Revenue up 21% YoY to ₹566 Cr with 3 new launches.
• 📦 Ex-US International: Revenue up 31% YoY to ₹392 Cr — strong diversification.
• 📈 EBITDA Margin: Expanded to 16.5% from 14.5% YoY — operational efficiency improving.

💊 Industry

• 📈 Global Pharma Demand: US and emerging markets driving generic volumes.
• 📉 Pricing Pressure: US generics still face competitive intensity and regulatory hurdles.

🧾 Conclusion

• ✅ Technically viable swing setup with strong volume and earnings momentum.
• 📥 Entry near ₹940–₹955 if MACD flattens and RSI stays below 65.
• 📤 Exit near ₹1,020–₹1,050 (resistance and prior breakout zone).
• 📈 Fundamentals improving, momentum building — suitable for alert-driven tactical trades with basket overlay.

Sources

CNBC TV18 – Q2 Results

Business Standard – PAT Growth

ScanX – Earnings Summary