APLLTD - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.0

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading slightly below both 50-DMA and 200-DMA (₹964), indicating short-term weakness and lack of bullish confirmation.

RSI (48.9): Neutral zone—no momentum signal, but not oversold either.

MACD (-1.27): Bearish crossover—momentum is fading.

Volume: Below 1-week average, suggesting weak participation and low conviction.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 44.8 Overvalued vs industry PE (33.4)

PEG Ratio -13.6 Negative—valuation not supported by growth

ROCE / ROE 11.3% / 9.68% Moderate efficiency—acceptable but not standout

Debt-to-Equity 0.23 Financially stable—low leverage

PAT Growth (QoQ) +38.1% Strong recovery, but prior quarter was weak

FII/DII Change +0.02% / +0.03% Flat institutional sentiment—neutral impact

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Fundamentally stable but technically weak setup.

Catalyst: PAT recovery and low debt offer support, but MACD and RSI lack confirmation.

Risk: High valuation, negative PEG, and weak momentum—entry should be delayed until reversal signals appear.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹940–₹950

(Near short-term support with stop-loss below ₹920)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹980–₹995 (Resistance near 50-DMA and prior swing zone)

Stop-Loss: ₹920 (Below MACD base and recent support)

Selva, this setup is best treated as a watchlist candidate until momentum confirms. If you're refining your pharma basket, I can scan for peers with better PEG alignment and stronger breakout overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you're ready.

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