ANANTRAJ - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

Entry Zone: ₹630–₹645 (only if MACD sustains and RSI > 53)

Exit if held: ₹685–₹710 (near volume pivot and short-term resistance)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹645
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹948 / ₹366
• 📈 RSI: 51.0 (neutral)
• 📈 MACD: 0.46 (mild bullish crossover)
• 📉 Volume: 19.1L vs 1W Avg 26.9L (below average)
• 📈 FII Holding Change: +3.06%
• 📉 DII Holding Change: -0.29%
• 📉 P/E: 94.2 vs Industry 41.3 (valuation premium)
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 1.63 — fair growth pricing

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 6.71% and 6.17% — improving capital efficiency.
• 📉 Low Debt: Debt-to-equity at 0.11 — conservative leverage.
• 📈 EPS: ₹7.20 — stable earnings base.
• 📈 FII Accumulation: Strong foreign investor interest.
• 📈 MACD Positive: Indicates early momentum shift.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Valuation Stretch: P/E of 94.2 — significantly above sector average.
• 📉 Volume Dip: Below average — weak conviction.
• 📉 DII Exit: Domestic institutions trimmed exposure.
• 📉 Dividend Yield: 0.11% — negligible passive income.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Sector Drag: Real estate stocks underperformed in 2025 despite RBI rate cuts.
• 📉 Valuation Risk: Analysts flagged overvaluation vs fair value of ₹488.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Q1FY26 PAT: ₹126 Cr vs ₹91 Cr YoY — 38% growth driven by real estate income.
• 📈 Revenue: ₹602 Cr vs ₹482 Cr YoY — strong topline expansion.
• 📈 Execution: EPS ₹12.43 in line with analyst estimates — consistent delivery.

🏢 Industry

• 📉 Realty Index: Down 14% YTD vs Nifty50 up 6% — sector rotation underway.
• 📈 Rate Cuts: RBI cut rates by 100 bps in 2025 — long-term tailwind for housing demand.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Not ideal for aggressive swing entry unless RSI > 53 and MACD sustains with volume confirmation.
• 📤 If already held, exit near ₹685–₹710 (resistance and volume pivot zone).
• 📈 Fundamentals improving, valuation rich — suitable for alert-driven tactical trades with basket overlay.

Sources

Simply Wall St – Forecast & Valuation

Outlook Business – Q1 Results

Business Standard – Sector Outlook