ANANTRAJ - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.8

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading above both 50-DMA (₹549) and 200-DMA (₹555), confirming short-term bullish momentum.

RSI (63.8): Bullish zone — momentum is strong but nearing overbought territory.

MACD (8.56): Positive crossover — confirms upward momentum.

Volume: Significantly below 1-week average — suggests reduced participation and potential volatility.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 81.5 Extremely overvalued vs industry PE (40.7) — valuation risk

PEG Ratio 1.41 Fairly priced relative to growth — acceptable for tactical swing

ROCE / ROE 6.71% / 6.17% Weak capital efficiency — not ideal for long-term hold

Debt-to-Equity 0.11 Low leverage — financially stable

PAT Growth (QoQ) +7.1% Mild improvement — sentiment neutral

FII/DII Change -2.26% / -0.35% Institutional outflow — sentiment caution

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Momentum-driven setup with valuation caution and weak ROCE.

Catalyst: MACD strength + price breakout above DMA cluster.

Risk: High valuation, low volume, and institutional trimming — tight stop-loss required.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹570–₹580

(Pullback toward 50-DMA with stop-loss below ₹550)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹610–₹630 (Resistance zone from prior swing highs)

Stop-Loss: ₹550 (Below 200-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup fits a short-term tactical basket with momentum confirmation but lacks margin-of-safety fundamentals. If you're refining your real estate rotation, I can scan for peers with stronger ROCE and lower PEG overlays. Let’s build that next layer when you're ready.

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