ALKYLAMINE - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 2.8

Entry Zone: ₹1,780–₹1,820 (only if MACD flattens and RSI > 42)

Exit if held: ₹1,940–₹1,970 (near 50 DMA and volume pivot zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹1,829
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹2,449 / ₹1,508
• 📉 RSI: 37.3 (oversold zone)
• 📉 MACD: -27.6 (strong bearish crossover)
• 📈 Volume: 93K vs 1W Avg 37K (spike — possible reversal interest)
• 📈 FII/DII Holding Change: +0.18% / +0.28%
• 📉 P/E: 51.4 vs Industry 32.5 (overvalued)
• 📉 PEG Ratio: -8.53 (not meaningful due to earnings contraction)

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 18.7% and 14.0% — decent capital efficiency.
• 📉 Zero Debt: Debt-to-equity at 0.00 — clean balance sheet.
• 📈 EPS: ₹35.6 — stable earnings base.
• 📈 Volume Spike: Indicates potential accumulation or reversal interest.
• 📈 FII/DII Accumulation: Both foreign and domestic institutions increased stake.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 MACD Deep Negative: Strong bearish trend still active.
• 📉 RSI < 42: Weak momentum — no confirmation of bullish strength.
• 📉 Below DMA 50 & 200: Price under key averages — trend not confirmed.
• 📉 PEG Ratio: Negative — unreliable growth valuation metric currently.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Q2FY26 PAT: ₹42.9 Cr vs ₹49.4 Cr QoQ — 9.28% drop in net profit due to weak demand and margin pressure.
• 📉 Revenue Decline: ₹390 Cr, down 4.88% YoY — impacted by sluggish chemical sector trends.
• 📉 Valuation Stretch: P/E of 51.4 despite declining profitability — risk of correction.

📈 Company Positive News

• 📈 EBITDA Margin: Improved slightly to 18.03% from 17.72% YoY — operational efficiency gains.
• 📈 Institutional Interest: FII/DII stake increased despite weak quarter — long-term confidence signal.

🧪 Industry

• 📉 Chemical Sector: Facing demand slowdown and pricing pressure globally — impacting midcap players.
• 📈 Recovery Potential: Sector expected to rebound post inventory normalization and festive demand uptick.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Not ideal for fresh swing entry unless MACD flattens and RSI > 42 with volume confirmation.
• 📤 If already held, exit near ₹1,940–₹1,970 (DMA resistance zone).
• 📈 Fundamentals stable, momentum weak — suitable only for alert-driven tactical trades with basket overlay.

Sources

ScanX – Q2 Results Summary

Economic Times – Board Meeting Intimation

NDTV Profit – Sector Deep Dive