AKUMS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.4

Entry Zone: ₹455–₹470 (only if MACD sustains and RSI > 58)

Exit if held: ₹495–₹510 (near short-term resistance and volume pivot zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹471
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹850 / ₹405
• 📈 RSI: 56.3 (neutral to mildly bullish)
• 📈 MACD: 1.40 (bullish crossover)
• 📈 Volume: 2.24L vs 1W Avg 1.07L (strong surge)
• 📉 FII Holding Change: -1.97%
• 📈 DII Holding Change: +0.43%
• 📈 P/E: 45.2 vs Industry 33.1 (premium valuation)
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 1.32 (fair growth pricing)

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 16.2% and 13.2% — solid capital efficiency.
• 📉 Low Debt: Debt-to-equity at 0.02 — clean balance sheet.
• 📈 EPS: ₹10.4 — improving earnings base.
• 📈 Volume Spike: Indicates renewed interest near support zone.
• 📈 MACD Positive: Momentum shift confirmed.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 FII Exit: Foreign investors trimmed stake significantly.
• 📉 Below DMA 200: Price still under long-term average — trend not fully confirmed.
• 📉 52W Index: Only 14.9% — weak relative strength.
• 📉 Dividend Yield: 0.00% — no passive income.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Q2FY25 Outlook: Flat revenue guidance for FY25 despite PAT growth — muted top-line expectations.
• 📉 Technical Downgrade: Shifted from sideways to mildly bearish trend due to slower long-term growth.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Q2FY25 PAT: ₹44.9 Cr vs ₹27.6 Cr QoQ — strong sequential growth.
• 📈 CDMO Margin Stability: 78% revenue from CDMO business with stable 15% margins.
• 📦 Global Expansion: New subsidiary incorporated in Malta and JV announced for international operations.

💊 Industry

• 📈 CDMO Demand: Rising outsourcing from global pharma players driving midcap contract manufacturers.
• 📉 Export Headwinds: Akums exports only 5% — limited forex hedge and global exposure.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Not ideal for aggressive swing entry unless RSI > 58 and MACD sustains with volume confirmation.
• 📤 If already held, exit near ₹495–₹510 (resistance and volume pivot zone).
• 📈 Fundamentals improving, technicals stabilizing — suitable for cautious trades with alert logic and basket overlay.

Sources

Economic Times – Subsidiary & JV Announcements

Business Upturn – Q2 Outlook

MarketsMojo – Technical Downgrade