ADANIPORTS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.7

Entry Zone: ₹1,420–₹1,435 (on RSI > 55 and MACD continuation)

Exit if held: ₹1,480–₹1,495 (near 52W high and psychological resistance)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📈 Current Price: ₹1,444
• 📈 52W High/Low: ₹1,494 / ₹994
• 📈 RSI: 54.0 (neutral to bullish)
• 📈 MACD: 10.9 (positive crossover)
• 📈 Volume: 36.7L vs 1W Avg 22.1L (strong interest)
• 📈 FII Holding Change: +0.08%
• 📉 DII Holding Change: -0.12%
• 📉 Qtr Profit Var: -21.4% (sequential dip)
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 2.19 (growth priced in)
• 📉 P/E: 151 vs Industry 26.3 (premium valuation)

✅ Positive

• 📈 MACD Bullish: Positive crossover with strong volume support.
• 📈 Above DMA 50 & 200: Trend confirmation for swing setup.
• 📈 Fitch Upgrade: Outlook revised to ‘Stable’ citing reduced contagion risk and funding access.
• 📈 Q2FY26 PAT: ₹3,120 Cr — up 29% YoY, beating expectations.
• 📈 Logistics Revenue: ₹2,224 Cr in H1 FY26 — up 92% YoY.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 Valuation Risk: P/E of 151 — nearly 6x industry average.
• 📉 High Leverage: Debt-to-equity at 1.92 — aggressive capital structure.
• 📉 Sequential PAT Dip: ₹449 Cr vs ₹505 Cr QoQ (adjusted for one-offs).
• 📉 DII Exit: Slight reduction in domestic institutional holding.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Contagion Overhang: Fitch noted lingering uncertainty from 2024 US indictment of group entity board members.
• 📉 Core Margin Pressure: Marine and port services saw margin compression despite topline growth.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Q2FY26 Revenue: ₹9,167 Cr — up 30% YoY, driven by ports, logistics, and marine.
• 📈 EBITDA: ₹5,550 Cr in Q2 — up 27% YoY.
• 📦 New Projects: NQXT Port acquisition in Australia approved; new logistics park planned in Kochi.
• 📈 Cargo Volume: 124 MMT handled in Q2 — up 12% YoY.

⚓ Industry

• 📈 Port-Led Growth: India’s EXIM trade and coastal shipping expansion driving port throughput.
• 📈 Multimodal Logistics: Rail-road-port integration gaining traction with government support.

🧾 Conclusion

• ✅ Technically favorable for swing trade with MACD, RSI, and volume alignment.
• 📥 Entry near ₹1,420–₹1,435 on RSI > 55 and MACD continuation.
• 📤 Exit near ₹1,480–₹1,495 (52W high and resistance zone).
• ⚠️ Valuation stretched — suitable for short-term tactical trades with alert logic.

Sources

Fitch Ratings – Outlook Upgrade

Business Today – Q2 Results

ScanX – Q2 Highlights

Financial Express – Segment Performance