ADANIENT - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading slightly above 50-DMA (₹2,385) but below 200-DMA (₹2,483), suggesting a short-term bounce but not a confirmed trend reversal.

RSI (58.3): Neutral-to-bullish zone—momentum is building but not yet strong.

MACD (6.38): Positive crossover—momentum confirmation is present, though modest.

Volume: Above 1-week average, indicating healthy participation and potential continuation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 122 Extremely overvalued vs industry PE (77.4)

PEG Ratio 2.27 Expensive relative to growth—valuation caution

ROCE / ROE 12.9% / 12.1% Moderate efficiency—acceptable for tactical swing

Debt-to-Equity 0.48 Financially stable with manageable leverage

PAT Growth (QoQ) -16.1% Declining profits—sentiment risk despite scale

FII/DII Change -0.16% / +0.18% Mixed institutional sentiment—DII support offsets mild FII trimming

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Momentum-driven setup with valuation risk and moderate fundamentals.

Catalyst: MACD strength + volume surge + price support near 50-DMA.

Risk: High valuation, declining earnings, and lack of strong confirmation signals.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹2,385–₹2,405

(Near 50-DMA support with stop-loss below ₹2,350)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹2,470–₹2,500 (Resistance zone near 200-DMA and prior swing highs)

Stop-Loss: ₹2,350 (Below 50-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup fits a short-term tactical basket but lacks margin-of-safety fundamentals. If you're refining your infra-heavy rotation logic, I can scan for low-PEG, high-ROCE peers with stronger confirmation overlays. Want to build that next layer?

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