ADANIENT - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.1

Entry Zone: ₹2,350–₹2,400 (only if RSI > 40 and MACD flattens)

Exit if held: ₹2,500–₹2,550 (near 200 DMA and resistance zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹2,420
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹3,070 / ₹2,025
• 📉 RSI: 36.7 (oversold zone)
• 📉 MACD: -5.91 (bearish crossover)
• 📈 Volume: 21.6L vs 1W Avg 12.4L (spike — possible reversal interest)
• 📈 FII Holding Change: +0.17%
• 📉 DII Holding Change: -0.20%
• 📈 Qtr Profit Growth: +5.19%
• 📉 P/E: 121 vs Industry 1,324 (still richly valued)
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 2.25 (growth priced in)

✅ Positive

• 📈 EPS: ₹82.7 — solid earnings base.
• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 12.9% and 12.1% — decent capital efficiency.
• 📈 FII Accumulation: Foreign investors marginally increased stake.
• 📈 Volume Spike: Sign of potential accumulation or reversal interest.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI < 40: Indicates weak momentum and oversold condition.
• 📉 MACD Negative: Bearish trend still active.
• 📉 Below DMA 50 & 200: Price under key moving averages.
• 📉 Valuation Risk: P/E of 121 — significantly above sector norms.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Core Earnings Dip: Q2FY26 PAT of ₹3,199 Cr includes ₹3,583 Cr one-time gain from AWL stake sale; adjusted PAT fell 66% YoY.
• 📉 Coal Trading Weakness: Core business under pressure, dragging operational margins.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Rights Issue: ₹25,000 Cr approved to fund growth in airports, green energy, and data centers.
• 📈 Airport & Energy Growth: Airport revenue up 39% YoY; new energy ecosystem up 3% YoY.
• 📦 Strategic Partnerships: Collaboration with Google for AI data center campus announced.

🏗️ Industry

• 📈 Infra Expansion: Government and private capex driving long-term demand in airports, roads, and renewables.
• 📉 Valuation Sensitivity: Diversified conglomerates face scrutiny on transparency and earnings quality.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Not ideal for fresh swing entry unless RSI > 40 and MACD flattens with volume confirmation.
• 📤 If already held, exit near ₹2,500–₹2,550 (DMA resistance zone).
• 📈 Momentum weak, but volume and FII interest suggest tactical bounce possible — suitable for alert-driven trades with tight stop-loss.

Sources

Livemint – Q2 preview

Outlook Business – Q2 earnings breakdown

Business Standard – Rights issue

ScanX – Segment performance