ADANIENSOL - Swing Trade Analysis

Last Updated Time : 02 Aug 25, 12:58 am

Swing Trade Analysis for Adani Energy Solutions Ltd. ⚡️ (ADANIENSOL)

📊 Swing Trade Rating

Rating: 3.2

While the stock shows strong profit growth and remains fairly valued in line with its industry, short-term technicals reveal weak momentum. High debt and declining foreign investor interest also signal caution. This could become a swing candidate if recovery signs appear—but not a strong buy just yet.

✅ Positives in the Mix

EPS ₹20 & PEG 1.82: Decent growth with valuation still manageable

ROE (12.8%) & ROCE (10.2%): Moderate but acceptable return metrics

Qtr Profit Surge (+317%): Indicates operational acceleration

DII Holding Increase (+0.56%): Domestic institutions showing confidence

Price Near Support: Close to recent low (₹588), giving room to rebound if momentum shifts

⚠️ Risk Factors

RSI (34.9) & MACD (-10.8): Momentum is weak; RSI close to oversold but not yet turning up

Below DMA 50 & 200: Downtrend intact, with technical barriers ahead

FII Outflow (-1.73%): Foreign investors pulling back—not ideal for short-term sentiment

Debt-to-Equity (1.83): High leverage adds vulnerability

No Dividend & High Volatility (52w Index: 31.4%): Not an income play, and price movement has been choppy

📌 Optimal Entry Price

If a reversal starts brewing, look at ₹805–₹815 range for entry. Key signals to watch

RSI climbing toward 45+

MACD flattening or turning positive

Volume picking up above 15L

Don’t enter until technical reversal confirms—chasing weakness could end in a whipsaw.

🧳 Exit Plan (If Holding Already)

First Resistance Zone: ₹860–₹870 (near DMA 50/200)

Secondary Target: ₹900–₹920 if breakout sustains

Stretch Target: ₹950+ if volume and RSI accelerate

Stop Loss: ₹790 to contain downside risk

🧠 Final Thought

ADANIENSOL has a few bright flashes, but the chart is still cloudy. It's a swing maybe—not a swing now. If you're already in, ride cautiously toward ₹870 and keep stops tight. For fresh entries, patience and signal confirmation will be your best allies.

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