ADANIENSOL - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.6

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading above 50-DMA (₹816) but slightly below 200-DMA (₹851), suggesting a short-term bullish bias but not a confirmed trend reversal.

RSI (62.3): Bullish zone—momentum is building, but nearing overbought territory.

MACD (6.37): Positive crossover—momentum confirmation is present.

Volume: Slightly above 1-week average, indicating healthy participation.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 144 Extremely overvalued vs industry PE (42.0)

PEG Ratio 1.18 Fairly priced relative to growth—acceptable for swing

ROCE / ROE 5.13% / 3.81% Weak capital efficiency—not ideal for long-term hold

Debt-to-Equity 0.40 Moderate leverage—financially stable

PAT Growth (QoQ) -21.2% Declining profits—sentiment risk despite prior surge

FII/DII Change -1.73% / +0.56% FII outflow is a concern; DII inflow offers partial support

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Momentum-driven setup with valuation risk and weak fundamentals.

Catalyst: MACD strength + RSI momentum + price support near 50-DMA.

Risk: High valuation, declining earnings, and FII outflow—requires tight risk control.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹825–₹835

(Near 50-DMA support with stop-loss below ₹810)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹865–₹880 (Resistance zone near 200-DMA and prior swing highs)

Stop-Loss: ₹810 (Below 50-DMA and MACD base)

Selva, this setup fits a short-term tactical basket but not your margin-of-safety framework. If you're refining your energy segment, I can scan for low-PEG, high-ROCE peers with stronger confirmation overlays. Want to build that next layer?

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