ABSLAMC - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 05 Nov 25, 7:43 am

✅ Swing Trade Rating: 3.5

Entry Zone: ₹770–₹785 (only if RSI > 40 and MACD flattens)

Exit if held: ₹820–₹840 (near 50 DMA and resistance zone)

📊 Technical & Fundamental Snapshot

• 📉 Current Price: ₹788
• 📉 52W High/Low: ₹912 / ₹556
• 📉 RSI: 38.1 (oversold zone)
• 📉 MACD: -14.2 (bearish crossover)
• 📉 Volume: 1.85L vs 1W Avg 2.97L (below average)
• 📈 FII Holding Change: +0.66%
• 📉 DII Holding Change: -0.50%
• 📉 Qtr Profit Var: +1.39% (flat growth)
• 📈 P/E: 23.4 vs Industry 29.9 (undervalued)
• 📈 PEG Ratio: 1.97 (fair growth pricing)

✅ Positive

• 📈 ROCE & ROE: 35.5% and 27.0% — excellent capital efficiency.
• 📉 Low Debt: Debt-to-equity at 0.02 — virtually debt-free.
• 📈 EPS: ₹33.7 — strong earnings base.
• 📈 Dividend Yield: 3.05% — attractive for passive income.
• 📈 FII Accumulation: Foreign investors increasing stake.

⚠️ Limitation

• 📉 RSI < 40: Indicates weak momentum and oversold condition.
• 📉 MACD Negative: Bearish trend still active.
• 📉 Below DMA 50: Price under short-term average.
• 📉 DII Exit: Domestic institutions trimmed stake.

🚨 Company Negative News

• 📉 Sequential PAT Dip: ₹245 Cr vs ₹277 Cr QoQ — margin compression in equity segment.
• 📉 Volume Weakness: Trading volumes declined amid sector rotation.

📈 Company Positive News

• 🚀 Q2FY26 Revenue: ₹461 Cr — up 9% YoY; operating profit up 13% YoY to ₹270 Cr.
• 📈 AUM Growth: ₹4.61 Lakh Cr — up 15% YoY including alternate assets.
• 📦 Alternative Business: PMS & AIF assets grew 7.8x YoY to ₹30,250 Cr.
• 📈 SIP Momentum: ₹1,100 Cr in September 2025 — strong retail traction.

🏦 Industry

• 📈 Mutual Fund Penetration: Expanding across Tier 2/3 cities with digital onboarding.
• 📉 Fee Compression: Regulatory push for lower TERs impacting AMC margins.

🧾 Conclusion

• ⚠️ Not ideal for fresh swing entry unless RSI > 40 and MACD flattens with volume confirmation.
• 📤 If already held, exit near ₹820–₹840 (DMA resistance zone).
• 📈 Strong fundamentals, weak momentum — suitable for alert-driven tactical trades with tight stop-loss.

Sources

ScanX – Q2 Earnings

Trendlyne – Analyst Targets

Moneycontrol – ABSLAMC Overview