AAVAS - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 3.3

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Currently trading below both 50-DMA (₹1,696) and 200-DMA (₹1,766), indicating short-term weakness and lack of bullish momentum.

RSI (50.8): Neutral zone—neither oversold nor overbought. No momentum confirmation.

MACD (-14.8): Bearish crossover—momentum is fading.

Volume: Slightly above 1-week average, but not enough to confirm accumulation or breakout.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 22.2 Fairly valued vs industry PE (19.9)

PEG Ratio 1.29 Slightly expensive relative to growth

ROCE / ROE 10.1% / 14.1% Moderate efficiency—acceptable but not standout

Debt-to-Equity 3.19 High leverage—adds volatility and risk

PAT Growth (QoQ) -9.7% Mild decline—sentiment caution

FII/DII Change +0.10% / +0.77% Mild institutional interest—DII support is encouraging

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Neutral-to-cautious setup with valuation support but weak technical triggers.

Catalyst: None visible—MACD and RSI are flat, and price is below key moving averages.

Risk: High debt and lack of momentum confirmation make this a wait-and-watch candidate.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Buy Zone: ₹1,620–₹1,640

(Near recent support zone with stop-loss below ₹1,600)

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹1,700–₹1,730 (Resistance near 50-DMA and prior swing zone)

Stop-Loss: ₹1,600 (Below recent support and MACD base)

Selva, this setup leans toward a valuation-backed mean reversion play, but lacks confirmation for a clean swing. If you're refining your housing finance basket, I can scan for low-debt, high-ROE peers with stronger technical overlays. Want to build that next layer?

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