AARTIIND - Swing Trade Analysis with AI Signals

Last Updated Time : 19 Sept 25, 2:15 pm

Swing Trade Rating: 2.8

📊 Technical & Momentum Analysis

Price vs DMA: Trading below both 50-DMA (₹403) and 200-DMA (₹445), indicating a weak trend and lack of bullish momentum.

RSI (49.4): Neutral zone—no strength or oversold signal.

MACD (-2.71): Negative crossover—momentum is fading.

Volume: Below 1-week average, suggesting weak participation and low conviction.

📈 Fundamental Snapshot

Metric Value Interpretation

P/E 57.8 Overvalued vs industry PE (33.9)

PEG Ratio -1.70 Negative—valuation not supported by growth

ROCE / ROE 6.43% / 6.22% Weak capital efficiency

Debt-to-Equity 0.68 Moderate leverage—acceptable but not ideal

PAT Growth (QoQ) -55.5% Sharp decline—sentiment risk

FII/DII Change +0.15% / +0.42% Mild institutional interest

🧠 Swing Trade Logic

Bias: Bearish-to-neutral setup with weak fundamentals and no technical confirmation.

Catalyst: None visible—MACD, RSI, and volume all lack strength.

Risk: High valuation, poor earnings momentum, and no breakout signals.

🎯 Optimal Entry Price

Avoid Fresh Entry: No confirmation signals. Wait for MACD reversal and RSI > 55 with volume > 6.5L.

🚪 Exit Strategy

If Already Holding

Target Exit: ₹405–₹420 (Minor resistance near 50-DMA)

Stop-Loss: ₹375 (Below recent support and MACD base)

Selva, this setup doesn’t align with your margin-of-safety framework or confirmation logic. If you're refining your chemicals basket, I can scan for better PEG-aligned, high-ROCE candidates with stronger technical triggers. Want to pivot toward that?

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