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POLYCAB - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.7

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 06:09 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.7

Stock Code POLYCAB Market Cap 1,45,613 Cr. Current Price 9,670 ₹ High / Low 9,696 ₹
Stock P/E 56.0 Book Value 787 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.36 % ROCE 34.0 %
ROE 24.1 % Face Value 10.0 ₹ DMA 50 8,433 ₹ DMA 200 7,619 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 3.39 % Chg in DII Hold -3.18 % PAT Qtr 750 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 614 Cr.
RSI 78.9 MACD 397 Volume 2,30,168 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,73,540
Low price 5,760 ₹ High price 9,696 ₹ PEG Ratio 1.93 Debt to equity 0.01
52w Index 99.3 % Qtr Profit Var 3.32 % EPS 173 ₹ Industry PE 28.1

Analysis:

POLYCAB is trading at 9,670 ₹, almost at its 52-week high (9,696 ₹). RSI at 78.9 signals strong overbought conditions, while MACD remains highly positive at 397. Volume (2,30,168) is below the 1-week average (2,73,540), showing reduced participation at elevated levels. Price is well above DMA 50 (8,433 ₹) and DMA 200 (7,619 ₹), confirming long-term bullish strength but limited intraday upside due to stretched momentum.

Optimal Buy Price:

Buy only if price sustains above 9,640–9,660 ₹ with strong intraday support and volume confirmation. Avoid fresh entry near 9,690–9,700 ₹ as it is a resistance zone.

Exit Levels:

- Profit-taking: 9,720–9,750 ₹ (short-term resistance)

- Stop-loss: 9,620 ₹ (below intraday support)

If Already Holding:

Exit intraday if RSI crosses 80 with weakening volume or if price fails to hold above 9,640 ₹. Trail stop-loss to 9,680 ₹ once price moves above 9,720 ₹.

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Positive

- Strong ROE (24.1%) and ROCE (34.0%)

- EPS at ₹173 supports earnings growth

- Debt-to-equity at 0.01 ensures financial stability

- FII holding increased (+3.39%), showing institutional confidence

Limitation

- High P/E (56.0) vs industry average (28.1) indicates premium valuation

- Dividend yield at 0.36% is low for income investors

- RSI at 78.9 suggests overbought zone, limiting upside

Company Negative News

- DII holding reduced (-3.18%), showing weaker domestic sentiment

- Valuation stretched compared to peers

Company Positive News

- Quarterly PAT improved from 614 Cr. to 750 Cr.

- Strong demand in cables and wires sector

- Healthy institutional interest and strong 52-week performance (+99.3%)

Industry

- Industry PE at 28.1 highlights sector trading at lower multiples

- Infrastructure and housing demand driving cable/wire consumption

- Competitive landscape with peers offering value-based alternatives

Conclusion

POLYCAB remains fundamentally strong but intraday upside is capped due to overbought RSI and proximity to 52-week highs. Optimal buy near 9,640–9,660 ₹ with profit exits around 9,720–9,750 ₹. Risk-managed stop-loss at 9,620 ₹ is essential. Existing holders should trail stops and monitor RSI/volume for intraday exit signals.

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