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ONGC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 4.2

Last Updated Time : 04 Feb 26, 05:34 am

IntraDay Trade Rating: 4.2

Stock Code ONGC Market Cap 3,23,375 Cr. Current Price 257 ₹ High / Low 278 ₹
Stock P/E 9.93 Book Value 267 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.77 % ROCE 14.8 %
ROE 11.4 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 246 ₹ DMA 200 245 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.45 % Chg in DII Hold -0.27 % PAT Qtr 9,848 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 8,024 Cr.
RSI 56.9 MACD 5.52 Volume 2,02,51,990 Avg Vol 1Wk 3,56,64,686
Low price 205 ₹ High price 278 ₹ PEG Ratio -2.42 Debt to equity 0.10
52w Index 71.6 % Qtr Profit Var -17.8 % EPS 25.9 ₹ Industry PE 18.6

📊 Analysis: ONGC is trading at ₹257, comfortably above its 50 DMA (₹246) and 200 DMA (₹245), showing strong technical support. RSI at 56.9 is mildly bullish, while MACD (5.52) confirms positive momentum. Volume is lower than the weekly average, but still significant, suggesting steady participation. The stock is a good candidate for intraday trading with defined entry and exit levels.

💡 Optimal Buy Price: ₹254–256 (near support zone, risk-managed entry).

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹262–265 (first resistance), ₹270–272 (secondary resistance if momentum sustains).

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹250 (below intraday support).

⏱️ If Already Holding: Exit near ₹262–265 if momentum stalls. If price sustains above ₹265 with strong volume, hold for ₹270+. Exit immediately if price breaks below ₹250 with heavy selling pressure.


Positive

  • Strong ROCE (14.8%) and ROE (11.4%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • Dividend yield of 4.77% adds investor appeal.
  • EPS at ₹25.9 reflects solid earnings strength.
  • Trading above both 50 DMA and 200 DMA shows bullish technical setup.

Limitation

  • Quarterly profit variation at -17.8% indicates earnings volatility.
  • PEG ratio at -2.42 suggests limited growth visibility.
  • Volume lower than weekly average, reducing intraday momentum strength.

Company Negative News

  • Quarterly PAT declined from ₹9,848 Cr. to ₹8,024 Cr., showing pressure on profitability.
  • DII holding decreased (-0.27%), reflecting reduced domestic institutional interest.

Company Positive News

  • FII holding increased (+0.45%), showing foreign investor confidence.
  • Strong dividend yield supports long-term investor sentiment.

Industry

  • Industry PE at 18.6, higher than ONGC’s 9.93, suggesting undervaluation.
  • Energy sector remains cyclical but supported by global demand trends.

Conclusion

⚖️ ONGC presents a solid intraday opportunity with bullish technical confirmation. Entry near ₹254–256 with exit around ₹262–265 is advisable. If momentum sustains, ₹270+ is achievable. Strict stop-loss at ₹250 ensures risk management. Suitable for disciplined intraday traders seeking steady gains.

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