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ONGC - IntraDay Trade Analysis with Live Signals

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Rating: 3.4

Last Updated Time : 28 May 26, 06:09 pm

IntraDay Trade Rating: 3.4

Stock Code ONGC Market Cap 3,44,637 Cr. Current Price 274 ₹ High / Low 308 ₹
Stock P/E 10.5 Book Value 264 ₹ Dividend Yield 4.47 % ROCE 13.0 %
ROE 10.2 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 284 ₹ DMA 200 265 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.54 % Chg in DII Hold -0.39 % PAT Qtr 6,650 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 8,372 Cr.
RSI 36.9 MACD 0.15 Volume 3,01,71,596 Avg Vol 1Wk 1,62,76,378
Low price 229 ₹ High price 308 ₹ PEG Ratio -1.03 Debt to equity 0.10
52w Index 57.5 % Qtr Profit Var 3.13 % EPS 26.2 ₹ Industry PE 30.0

📊 Optimal Buy Price (Intraday): ₹270–272 (near 200 DMA support at ₹265, with momentum confirmation)

🎯 Profit-Taking Levels: ₹280–285 (close to 50 DMA resistance at ₹284)

🛡️ Stop-Loss / Loss Protection: ₹266–267 (below 200 DMA support zone)

⏱️ Exit Strategy (If Already Holding): Exit if price fails to sustain above ₹267 with weakening volume, or book profits if RSI approaches 42–44 and momentum flattens. Extend trades only if breakout above ₹285 occurs with strong intraday volume.

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### Positive

- Strong dividend yield (4.47%) supports investor sentiment.

- Debt-to-equity at 0.10 indicates a very healthy balance sheet.

- EPS at ₹26.2 reflects stable earnings base.

- Volume (3.01 crore) significantly above weekly average (1.62 crore), showing strong intraday participation.

### Limitation

- RSI at 36.9 indicates oversold territory, limiting bullish momentum.

- MACD (0.15) is flat, showing weak trend strength.

- PAT declined sequentially (₹8,372 Cr. → ₹6,650 Cr.), reflecting earnings pressure.

- Valuation discount (P/E 10.5 vs industry 30.0) suggests market skepticism.

### Company Negative News

- DII holding reduced (-0.39%), showing cautious domestic sentiment.

- Profit variation (+3.13%) is modest compared to sector peers.

### Company Positive News

- FII holding increased (+0.54%), indicating foreign investor confidence.

- Dividend yield remains attractive for income-focused investors.

### Industry

- Oil & gas sector facing volatility due to global crude price swings.

- Industry PE (30.0) much higher than ONGC’s P/E (10.5), reflecting undervaluation but also growth concerns.

### Conclusion

ONGC presents a cautious intraday trading opportunity with high liquidity but weak momentum indicators. Best suited for disciplined trades between ₹270–285 with strict stop-loss at ₹267. Avoid aggressive positions unless RSI recovery and breakout above ₹285 confirm strength.

Would you like me to extend this into a sector overlay HTML report comparing ONGC’s intraday setup against Reliance Industries, Oil India, and GAIL for a broader energy-sector perspective?

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