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ADANIPOWER - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.8

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:01 pm

Technical Rating: 3.8

Stock Code ADANIPOWER Market Cap 2,59,476 Cr. Current Price 135 ₹ High / Low 183 ₹
Stock P/E 25.3 Book Value 24.8 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 23.7 %
ROE 27.0 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 142 ₹ DMA 200 134 ₹
Chg in FII Hold 0.11 % Chg in DII Hold 0.71 % PAT Qtr 2,047 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 2,735 Cr.
RSI 36.0 MACD -2.92 Volume 1,09,69,817 Avg Vol 1Wk 2,02,14,605
Low price 92.4 ₹ High price 183 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.80 Debt to equity 0.94
52w Index 46.6 % Qtr Profit Var -32.6 % EPS 5.32 ₹ Industry PE 22.1

📈 Technical Chart Analysis

  • Moving Averages: Current price (135 ₹) is below 50 DMA (142 ₹) but slightly above 200 DMA (134 ₹), showing consolidation with mild bearish bias.
  • RSI: At 36.0, the stock is oversold, suggesting potential rebound opportunities.
  • MACD: Negative (-2.92), confirming bearish crossover and weak momentum.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions and possible short-term bounce.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (1,09,69,817) is lower than 1-week average (2,02,14,605), showing reduced participation and weak conviction.

📊 Momentum & Trend Signals

  • Short-term Momentum: Bearish bias due to negative MACD and weak volume.
  • Support Zone: 130–134 ₹ (near 200 DMA and psychological support).
  • Resistance Zone: 142–150 ₹ (near 50 DMA and psychological round level).
  • Optimal Entry: Around 132–135 ₹ if RSI remains oversold and support holds.
  • Optimal Exit: 145–150 ₹ if price rebounds to moving averages.
  • Trend Status: Currently consolidating with bearish undertone; reversal possible if RSI triggers bounce and volume improves.

✅ Positive

  • Strong ROCE (23.7%) and ROE (27.0%) indicate efficient capital use.
  • PEG ratio of 0.80 suggests undervaluation relative to growth.
  • FII holding increased (+0.11%) and DII holding increased (+0.71%), showing institutional confidence.
  • 52-week performance (+46.6%) shows resilience despite recent correction.

⚠️ Limitation

  • PAT dropped from 2,735 Cr. to 2,047 Cr., showing earnings pressure.
  • Quarterly profit variation (-32.6%) indicates volatility.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.94 is relatively high, adding financial risk.
  • Dividend yield is 0%, offering no passive income to investors.

📉 Company Negative News

  • Quarterly profit decline (-32.6%) highlights earnings weakness.
  • Stock corrected from 183 ₹ high, showing susceptibility to profit booking.

📈 Company Positive News

  • Institutional investors (both FII and DII) increased holdings, signaling confidence.
  • EPS at 5.32 ₹ remains stable despite earnings volatility.

🏭 Industry

  • Power sector benefits from rising demand and government infrastructure push.
  • Industry P/E at 22.1 suggests sector is moderately valued; Adani Power trades at a slight premium.

🔎 Conclusion

  • Adani Power shows strong fundamentals with high ROCE/ROE but faces earnings volatility and debt concerns.
  • Technically, the stock is consolidating near support with oversold RSI, suggesting possible short-term rebound.
  • Entry near 132–135 ₹ is favorable for short-term traders, with exit near 145–150 ₹.
  • Short-term outlook: cautious accumulation; long-term outlook requires earnings stability and debt management.

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