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MARUTI - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 2.7

Last Updated Time : 02 Feb 26, 09:51 am

Technical Rating: 2.7

Stock Code MARUTI Market Cap 4,46,342 Cr. Current Price 14,199 ₹ High / Low 17,372 ₹
Stock P/E 30.7 Book Value 3,098 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.95 % ROCE 21.7 %
ROE 15.6 % Face Value 5.00 ₹ DMA 50 15,918 ₹ DMA 200 14,744 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.02 % Chg in DII Hold 0.29 % PAT Qtr 3,794 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 3,303 Cr.
RSI 21.7 MACD -499 Volume 4,08,881 Avg Vol 1Wk 8,73,243
Low price 11,059 ₹ High price 17,372 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.43 Debt to equity 0.00
52w Index 49.7 % Qtr Profit Var 3.68 % EPS 462 ₹ Industry PE 30.8

📊 Chart Patterns & Trend: Maruti is trading at 14,199 ₹, well below its 50 DMA (15,918 ₹) and 200 DMA (14,744 ₹). This indicates a bearish reversal with strong downward bias. The stock is closer to its 52-week low (11,059 ₹) than its high (17,372 ₹), reflecting weak sentiment.

📈 RSI: At 21.7, RSI is in deep oversold territory, suggesting potential for a short-term rebound but overall weak momentum.

📉 MACD: Strongly negative at -499, confirming bearish momentum and lack of bullish crossover signals.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions and possible mean reversion.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (4,08,881) is significantly lower than average weekly volume (8,73,243), showing weak participation and lack of conviction in recent moves.

🎯 Entry Zone: 13,800–14,100 ₹ (near support and oversold RSI).

🎯 Exit Zone: 15,800–16,000 ₹ (near 50 DMA resistance).


Positive

  • Market cap of 4,46,342 Cr. reflects strong industry leadership.
  • Stock P/E of 30.7 is aligned with industry PE of 30.8, showing fair valuation.
  • ROCE (21.7%) and ROE (15.6%) highlight strong capital efficiency.
  • Debt-free balance sheet (Debt-to-equity ratio 0.00).
  • Quarterly PAT improved to 3,794 Cr. from 3,303 Cr., showing sequential growth.
  • DII holdings increased by 0.29%, indicating domestic institutional confidence.
  • EPS at 462 ₹ supports long-term earnings visibility.

Limitation

  • Stock trading below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, showing weak momentum.
  • RSI and MACD both indicate strong bearish undertone.
  • Volume participation is weak compared to average, reducing conviction in price action.
  • Dividend yield is modest at 0.95%.

Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.02%), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Stock trading near oversold levels, reflecting weak sentiment.

Company Positive News

  • Quarterly PAT growth of 3.68% indicates operational improvement.
  • DII stake increase reflects domestic investor confidence.
  • Debt-free balance sheet provides financial stability.

Industry

  • Automobile sector trading at industry PE of 30.8, making Maruti fairly valued at P/E of 30.7.
  • Sector outlook remains positive with rising demand for SUVs, EV adoption, and rural market expansion.

Conclusion

⚖️ Maruti is in a bearish reversal phase with oversold RSI and strongly negative MACD. Entry near 13,800–14,100 ₹ offers margin of safety, while exits around 15,800–16,000 ₹ provide profit-taking opportunities. Long-term investors may find value due to strong fundamentals, high ROE/ROCE, and debt-free status, while short-term traders should be cautious until reversal signals strengthen.

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