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FEDERALBNK - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.6

Last Updated Time : 03 Feb 26, 05:12 pm

Technical Rating: 3.6

Stock Code FEDERALBNK Market Cap 69,476 Cr. Current Price 282 ₹ High / Low 290 ₹
Stock P/E 18.0 Book Value 142 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.42 % ROCE 6.95 %
ROE 13.0 % Face Value 2.00 ₹ DMA 50 262 ₹ DMA 200 228 ₹
Chg in FII Hold -0.60 % Chg in DII Hold 1.39 % PAT Qtr 1,041 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr 955 Cr.
RSI 64.3 MACD 7.44 Volume 34,09,378 Avg Vol 1Wk 95,14,255
Low price 173 ₹ High price 290 ₹ PEG Ratio 0.62 Debt to equity 8.75
52w Index 93.6 % Qtr Profit Var 8.98 % EPS 15.8 ₹ Industry PE 15.8

📈 Technical Analysis

  • Chart Patterns: Stock has rallied from 173 ₹ lows to 290 ₹ highs and is consolidating near 282 ₹, showing resilience after recent gains.
  • Moving Averages: Current price (282 ₹) is above both 50 DMA (262 ₹) and 200 DMA (228 ₹), confirming bullish trend continuation.
  • RSI: At 64.3, the stock is approaching overbought territory, suggesting caution for new entries.
  • MACD: Positive (7.44), indicating bullish momentum persists.
  • Bollinger Bands: Price is near the upper band, signaling strong momentum but risk of short-term pullback.
  • Volume Trends: Current volume (34,09,378) is lower than 1-week average (95,14,255), showing reduced participation in recent moves.

📊 Momentum & Signals

  • Short-Term Momentum: Strong, supported by positive MACD and price above moving averages.
  • Support Zones: 275 ₹ (near-term), 262 ₹ (50 DMA), 228 ₹ (major support at 200 DMA).
  • Resistance Zones: 290 ₹ (recent high), 300 ₹ (psychological resistance).
  • Entry Zone: 270–280 ₹ on dips if RSI cools.
  • Exit Zone: 290–300 ₹ on strength; strict stop-loss below 262 ₹.
  • Trend Status: Stock is trending upward but showing signs of consolidation near highs.

✅ Positive

  • Quarterly PAT improved (1,041 Cr. vs 955 Cr.), showing earnings growth.
  • DII holdings increased (+1.39 %), showing strong domestic institutional support.
  • EPS at 15.8 ₹ supports earnings strength.
  • PEG ratio at 0.62 suggests reasonable valuation relative to growth.

⚠️ Limitation

  • RSI at 64.3 indicates near overbought levels, limiting immediate upside.
  • Debt-to-equity ratio at 8.75 is high, reflecting leveraged balance sheet typical of banks.
  • ROCE (6.95 %) is relatively low compared to peers.

📉 Company Negative News

  • FII holdings decreased (-0.60 %), showing reduced foreign investor confidence.
  • Volume participation has declined compared to weekly averages, signaling caution.

📈 Company Positive News

  • DII holdings increased (+1.39 %), showing strong domestic institutional confidence.
  • Quarterly profit variance (+8.98 %) highlights earnings improvement.
  • Strong 52-week performance (+93.6 %) indicates robust investor interest.

🏭 Industry

  • Industry PE at 15.8 is slightly lower than company PE (18.0), suggesting FEDERALBNK trades at a mild premium.
  • Banking sector outlook remains positive with credit growth and stable margins.

🔎 Conclusion

  • FEDERALBNK is in a bullish trend with consolidation near highs, supported by positive MACD and price above moving averages.
  • Short-term traders may consider entry near 270–280 ₹ with exit around 290–300 ₹.
  • Long-term investors may hold due to strong fundamentals, improving profits, and sector outlook, but should monitor high leverage and near overbought RSI levels.

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