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RENUKA - Technical Analysis with Chart Patterns & Indicators

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Rating: 3.2

Last Updated Time : 17 Jan 26, 11:52 am

Technical Rating: 3.2

Stock Code RENUKA Market Cap 5,366 Cr. Current Price 25.2 ₹ High / Low 40.3 ₹
Book Value -4.35 ₹ Dividend Yield 0.00 % ROCE 9.99 % ROE %
Face Value 1.00 ₹ DMA 50 26.8 ₹ DMA 200 30.2 ₹ Chg in FII Hold 0.12 %
Chg in DII Hold -0.05 % PAT Qtr -319 Cr. PAT Prev Qtr -215 Cr. RSI 39.9
MACD -0.44 Volume 24,01,289 Avg Vol 1Wk 28,06,352 Low price 24.4 ₹
High price 40.3 ₹ 52w Index 4.66 % Qtr Profit Var -1,670 % EPS -3.17 ₹
Industry PE 10.3

📊 Chart Patterns: RENUKA is trading below both its 50 DMA (26.8 ₹) and 200 DMA (30.2 ₹), confirming a strong downtrend. Price action shows weakness with immediate support at 24.4–25 ₹ and resistance at 27–30 ₹. Broader resistance lies near 35–40 ₹.

📈 Moving Averages: Current price (25.2 ₹) is under both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, indicating bearish sentiment. Sustained trade above 27 ₹ is required to regain momentum.

📉 RSI: At 39.9, RSI is weak and close to oversold territory, suggesting potential for rebound but no confirmation yet.

📊 MACD: Negative MACD (-0.44) signals bearish momentum, aligning with the downtrend.

📊 Bollinger Bands: Price is near the lower band, indicating oversold conditions. A mean reversion toward 27–28 ₹ is possible if buying interest emerges.

📊 Volume Trends: Current volume (24.0 lakh) is below 1-week average (28.0 lakh), showing reduced participation and weak conviction in recent moves.

🚀 Short-term Momentum Signals: Entry zone: 24.5–25 ₹ (support). Exit zone: 27–30 ₹ (resistance). Momentum is bearish but oversold, suggesting tactical rebound potential.

📌 Trend Status: The stock is reversing downward and currently trending lower. Only a sustained close above 30 ₹ would shift bias toward consolidation.


Positive

  • 📈 RSI near oversold levels, offering potential rebound opportunity.
  • 💹 Increase in FII holding (+0.12%) shows marginal foreign investor interest.
  • 📊 Defined support at 24.4 ₹ provides tactical entry levels.

Limitation

  • ⚠️ Price below both 50 DMA and 200 DMA, confirming bearish trend.
  • 📉 Negative EPS (-3.17 ₹) and losses widening.
  • 📊 Book value negative (-4.35 ₹), reflecting weak fundamentals.
  • 💰 No dividend yield (0.00%), limiting income appeal.

Company Negative News

  • 📉 Quarterly PAT worsened (-319 Cr. vs -215 Cr.).
  • ⚠️ Sharp decline in profit variation (-1,670%).
  • 📉 Reduction in DII holding (-0.05%).

Company Positive News

  • 📈 Slight increase in FII holding (+0.12%).

Industry

  • 🏭 Industry PE (10.3) is much lower, highlighting RENUKA’s weak valuation metrics.
  • 📊 Sugar and commodities sector outlook remains cyclical, dependent on global demand and pricing.

Conclusion

📌 RENUKA is in a strong downtrend, trading below key moving averages with oversold RSI. Entry near 24.5–25 ₹ offers rebound potential, while resistance at 27–30 ₹ is critical for recovery. Long-term investors should be cautious of negative earnings and weak fundamentals, but short-term traders may find tactical opportunities if the stock sustains above 27 ₹ with volume confirmation.

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